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Laura Rozen Profile picture
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Oct 13, 2019 • 3 tweets • 1 min read
between when Trump said all troops leaving Syria in December & last Sunday Trump call w/Erdogan, they could have done an orderly withdrawal
but instead it is cut and run with no planning and Kurdish and other allies got no consultation
both decisions were prompted by Erdogan calls with Trump, and Trump acquiescence

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More from @lrozen

Laura Rozen Profile picture
Feb 21
🧵Senior US admin official, on call with reporters, says there will be further sanctions actions announced tomorrow. WRT Russia announcing it will send “peacekeeping” troops into Donbas, he says: we are going to observe and assess what Russia does in hours ahead &overnight
SAO: going to respond to any actions russia takes in way we think appropriate. if russia takes further actions, we will respond with further actions.
have been russia troops in donbas for eight years.
now russia looks like might be having troops there openly.
SAO: as throughout this process, we are going to assess what Russia does and not focus on what Russia says
Russia (occupied) these regions since 2014…There have been Russian forces between those areas throughout. we are going to be looking very closely at what they do over
Read 5 tweets
Laura Rozen Profile picture
Feb 19
🧵 This from Fiona Hill is very interesting: “We don’t know how good [Putin’s] intel is. & in some cases, we think it might not be great, because he certainly hasn’t read the mood in Ukraine as well as you might have thought.” nytimes.com/2022/02/18/us/…
“He didn’t probably anticipate the Western resolve that he’s got in the form of NATO & European unity, but we don’t know what people are telling him.
People may be spinning to him that he’s done a great job — you know, that we’re all capitulating…” nytimes.com/2022/02/18/us/…
Hill also disagrees with Zelenskyy and some Congressional GOP that the US should impose new sanctions now before a possible further incursion the West is still trying to deter
Read 4 tweets
Laura Rozen Profile picture
Feb 19
this is sobering foreignaffairs.com/articles/ukrai…
🧵 “For Russia, victory in Ukraine could take various forms. As in Syria, victory does not have to result in a sustainable settlement. It could involve the installation of a compliant government in Kyiv or the partition of the country. Alternatively, the defeat of the Ukrainian
“military and the negotiation of a Ukrainian surrender could effectively transform Ukraine into a failed state. Russia could also employ devastating cyberattacks and disinformation tools, backed by the threat of force, to cripple the country and induce regime change.
Read 8 tweets
Laura Rozen Profile picture
Feb 18
Biden says what we have seen s a major uptick in violations of the ceasefire.
and more and more disinfo pushed out to the Russian public.
Biden: We have reason to believe Russian forces intend to attack ukraine in coming days
we believe they intend to attack Kyiv
Biden praises Ukrainian forces for showing professionalism and restraint, and refusing to date to get baited into a provocation
Read 5 tweets
Laura Rozen Profile picture
Feb 17
Blinken addressing the UN Security Council now. Says implementation of the Minsk agreements is a goal we all share.
Blinken: As we meet today, the most immediate threat to peace and security is Russia’s looming aggression against Ukraine.
Blinken: I am here today not to start a war, but to prevent one.
Read 11 tweets
Laura Rozen Profile picture
Feb 17
🧵A State Dept spox: We can confirm that Russia expelled U.S. Deputy Chief of Mission (DCM) to Russia Bart Gorman.  DCM Gorman was the second-most senior official at U.S. Embassy Moscow after the Ambassador…1/
State spox: “Russia’s action against our DCM was unprovoked and we consider this an escalatory step and are considering our response.   

“DCM Gorman’s tour had not ended; he had a valid visa, and he had been in Russia less than three years.”
“We call on Russia to end its baseless expulsions of U.S. diplomats & staff & to work productively to rebuild our missions.  Now more than ever, it is critical that our countries have the necessary diplomatic personnel in place to facilitate communication betweenour governments
Read 4 tweets

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