Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
Oct 21, 2019 7 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Nation-states emerge only after the printing press 1/6 #history #Geopolitique
Not a coincidence: you wanted your book to be printed and bought as many times as possible. 2/6
That meant using the most common dialects: French, Castilian, English, Florentine... 3/6
City-states that had similar dialects started adopting the majority one for which books were available. All of Tuscany starts speaking Florentine—and then Italy. All of Castilla speaks Castilian—and then Spain. All of England speaks English—and then the UK. 4/6
These city-states start sharing more ideas, trading more, interacting more... a common identity emerges, common values, brotherhood. 5/6
It was just a matter of time this would be reflected on the geopolitics. 6/6
The same thing is happening now. Internet will completely change the system we live in.
stratechery.com/2019/the-inter…

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More from @tomaspueyo

Feb 24
The stupidest German policy of the last decade: closing its nuclear power plants

These are Germany's sources of electricity vs what they could have been if they had kept nuclear open:

• This has destroyed Germany's industry
• The new gov can reverse this
🧵
Germany's economy is in tatters. It's one of the slowest-growing rich economies. It has been in recession in 2023 and 2024! Image
One of the main reasons is its industrial production: It's shrunk compared to similar countries Image
Read 13 tweets
Feb 19
This Sunday are Germany's elections
These are the best maps to understand the country:
Why is it so rich?
What makes it special?
What lies in its future?

1. We can still tell the East/West divide, 35 years after the reunification. These are Germany's phantom borders
2. Before WW2, East Germany had more:
• Working class ppl
• Vote left
• Women working
• Births out of wedlock
• Protestantism Image
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3. The main reason is because this region industrialized early. One of the reasons of that industrialization is because of the Bohemian Mountains and their coal and iron Image
Read 24 tweets
Jan 29
UNPRECEDENTED
The singularity is near. We're 1-6 years away from AGI according to:
1. Prediction markets
2. Insider insights
3. Benchmarks
4. Lack of barriers to growth
5. Current progress

This breakneck speed of AI progress is illustrated by OpenAI's o3 and DeepSeek🧵 Image
1. Prediction Markets:
Average bet on AGI: November 2030
Mode: June 2027Image
Two other bets in Metaculus match this:
• Two years to weak AGI, so by the end of 2026
• Three years later, Superintelligence, so by the end of 2029 Image
Image
Read 22 tweets
Jan 18
This remote corner of the US has something unique that might soon make it one of the most important cities in the world—the city of the future. It is officially Boca Chica today, but it might soon become Starbase 🧵 Image
This point at the south of Texas is the southernmost point in the continental US Image
That is extremely useful for rockets

The biggest share of weight in rockets is fuel. Most of it is burnt just to carry the rest to orbit! Rocket makers do anything they can to reduce fuel consumption Image
Read 14 tweets
Jan 15
We should transform Guantanamo Bay into a 21st Century Hong Kong 🧵
Hong Kong was a deep water port surrounded by a Communist country—China

By building up the port, urbanizing the surrounding area, making business easy, and taxing little, Hong Kong showed China what capitalism could do by becoming a global port and financial center Image
Seeing this success, Deng Xiaoping made the neighboring Shenzhen into a special economic zone (SEZ). The area exploded and is not the epicenter of global manufacturing, along with the broader Guangzhou, on the Pearl River delta Image
Read 12 tweets
Jan 3
The answer to this is FASCINATING, it goes beyond what most people think, and its ramifications help explain ALL of the US's climate and population

Here's what people already know: rain
Water basically stops halfway through the US
But why? Image
The next thing people will say is: mountains. The US West has tons of them! See map

Mountains stop rain, and the US West is mountainous, so that's why rain doesn't make it farther, right?
Wrong! Image
Look at California's Sierra Nevada. The western slopes of the mountains are GREEN! They CATCH the rains

Why doesn't this happen in the middle of the US? Image
Read 16 tweets

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