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Zack Guzmán Profile picture
@zGuz
Nov 26, 2019 • 5 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
The #YangGang has gotten Andrew Yang's fight with MSNBC to #TellTheTruthMSNBC trending- but as I've said, the #MATH backs his claim:

Yang's speaking time trailed the avg. by the biggest margin in debates moderated by MSNBC (1 & 5)

1: -4.97 mins
2: -3.51
3: -4.7
4: -2.8
5: -5.9
As I pointed out before, the stats become even more egregious when you correct for the expected airtime given a candidate's pre-debate polling position

The red line indicates the expected airtime given polling position. Yang trailed considerably in #TellTheTruthMSNBC's Debate 5 Image
@AndrewYang Interestingly, since I pointed that out on debate night 5, Business Insider confirmed my findings across the other debates as well:

businessinsider.com/andrew-yang-lo…
@AndrewYang However (and just to put a bow on the whole #TellTheTruthMSNBC thing) - the most glaringly obvious debates in which Yang has not been given the time you'd expect him to get based on his polling have been those moderated by MSNBC

Here is Debate 1 (also an MSNBC debate):
#YangGang Image
🧢 Follow me for more #YangGang and #politics coverage that Marianne Williamson herself called “thorough and fair” 😊

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More from @zGuz

Zack Guzmán Profile picture
Mar 25
It was surreal to be back in court for Do Kwon's trial, just a few floors from where SBF was convicted

I was the first to interview Do after Terra's collapse, and went to SBF's home right before his trial. Here's why these cases are both extremely different and eerily similar 🧵
For starters, this is a civil fraud case against Do Kwon and Terraform Labs. There is no jail time associated with this ruling (though the DOJ was lingering around the courtroom today)

At the heart of the case is exactly what we explored in our interview — Failure vs. Fraud
The SEC has built their case around the climax of our piece on Terra's collapse. As we presented it more than a year ago, this was always going to come down to:

Who knew what?
and when did they know it?

coinage.media/s1/inside-cryp…
Read 6 tweets
Zack Guzmán Profile picture
Mar 25
NEW: Do Kwon / Terra vs. SEC off to a hot start in Manhattan court today

We already got a jury selected along with opening statements from both the SEC and defense teams (plus’s some pretty hilarious material from Judge Rakoff)

Here’s everything from Day 1 🧵 Image
It’s my first time back at the courthouse since SBF’s trial, and this one is way less crowded

Showed up late cause I was coming straight from Newark, but still got a seat.

Most obvious difference: all suits in the courtroom. Terra and the SEC came to play for the civil trial!
Judge Rakoff laid out ground rules from the jump:

Trial expected to take 2 weeks
Only 4-word objections allowed

“The only way you can get me mad is a speedy objection. You say 3 words: ‘Objection, lack of foundation.’ Ok, maybe I’ll extend to 4 words.”
Read 11 tweets
Zack Guzmán Profile picture
Aug 10, 2023
People always ask me why I get so excited about Web3.

The answer is that it enables more intimate and better user experiences that have been destroyed by terrible Web2 models that misalign incentives

Let me use a simple example in this thread: Dating Apps 🧵🩷


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First off, start by liking and bookmarking this thread so you have something to come back to whenever someone else asks you why Web3 is better 😄

Alright, let's get into why the old Web2 model for tech has been resulting in terrible user experiences — starting with Hinge Image
Hinge launched in 2012. (I am not ashamed to say that I... was an early user.) But it looked very different than Hinge today

Back then, it was built on the idea of leveraging shared social networks to meet quality "friends of friends" hence the name "Hinge" Image
Read 13 tweets
Zack Guzmán Profile picture
Nov 16, 2022
The Winklevoss Twins' crypto platform Gemini is the latest player to get hit in the crypto collapse

But they were seen as one of *the good* crypto platforms — above board, regulated, and backed 1:1. So how did even they run into problems? A mini thread 🧵 Image
First off, as we've seen this year — centralized crypto lenders have basically been operating as unregulated banks: promising interest rates 140x-higher than traditional banks, taking in customer deposits, and loaning them out

Even Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz said that
But unlike Celsius, and BlockFi, Gemini had tried to appear safer with its operations

For one, it never launched its own risky token. It had a stablecoin, sure, but GUSD was backed 1:1 with audited cash held in a trust ✅

It also didn't offer 8% interest to its customers alone
Read 9 tweets
Zack Guzmán Profile picture
Sep 6, 2022
Most NFT mints optimize to sell out as quickly as possible, or make a lot of money. But if NFTs are all about "community" around a shared goal you'd think fostering the *right* community would be a higher priority

Here's one decentralized approach to put community first 🧵thread
2/ First thing first: Identify a genuine shared goal that isn’t “number go up.”

With precious few exceptions, the NFT market is currently driven by speculation. People will always want to make money. That’s never going to change.

But that creates a destructive paradox
3/ A “community” of people trying to outmaneuver and undercut each other for profit is not a community. That’s a 10,000-way Mexican standoff

When the shared goal is only financial upside, you can share the desire, but when push comes to shove, you’ll rarely all share the success
Read 23 tweets
Zack Guzmán Profile picture
Dec 2, 2021
Crypto project @terra_money ( $LUNA ) has surged 50% in the last week to hit a new all-time high even with bitcoin down 5%

Its algorithmically-backed stablecoin $UST has become the largest of its kind and keeps picking up Web3 adoption as THE DeFi dollar

Why that is huge ⬇️ 1/X
A "DeFi dollar" has been the elusive holy grail of crypto. How do you make a stablecoin stay at $1?

The largest stablecoins (Tether and USDC) are backed by cash. But what if regulators seize those accounts? What if a company lies about its holdings? 2/X

Terra's simple starting point is that its stablecoin is not backed by cash or assets at all. Instead it's backed by its own cryptocurrency.

People can convert $LUNA into $UST and vice-versa. While Luna's price fluctuates, UST remains priced at $1 3/X
Read 9 tweets

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