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Dec 4, 2019 • 59 tweets • 19 min read
The real migrant crisis: not enough migrants.
Robots aren't going to save Europe from economic sclerosis due to aging, says this paper.

wiiw.ac.at/the-automatisa…

The real migrant crisis: not enough migrants.
"Farmers and ranchers in every state tell me that the shortage of labor is the greatest limiting factor on their farms. They try to hire American workers, but there are not many takers..."

The real migrant crisis: nor enough migrants.

fb.org/viewpoints/ano…
"Tonnes of crops left to rot as farms struggle to recruit EU workers... Brexit fears and fall in sterling causing pickers to stay away, says National Farmers’ Union"

The real migrant crisis: not enough migrants.

theguardian.com/business/2019/…
"It’s official: The US economy doesn’t have enough workers. For nearly a year now, the number of open jobs each month has been higher than the number of people looking for work."

The real migrant crisis: not enough migrants.

vox.com/2019/3/18/1827… Image
"A demographic analysis shows that in fiscal 2025, when the baby boomer generation will turn 75 or older, the manpower shortage in the nursing care sector in Hokkaido will reach 20,000"

The real migrant crisis: not enough migrants.

japantimes.co.jp/news/2019/11/2…
"A severe maritime labor shortage threatens more than industry and commerce, it’s a national security threat we all have a vested interest in rectifying."

The real migrant crisis; not enough migrants.

galvnews.com/opinion/editor…
"For the past couple of years, bankers have cited tariffs, trade wars and gridlock in Washington... Now, there’s another reason why many firms are putting off expansion: a shortage of qualified workers"

The real migrant crisis: not enough migrants.

americanbanker.com/news/labor-sho…
"last year’s cost estimate for burying all overhead utility lines in town fell short by $25 million... contractors are very busy....There is a labor shortage.”

The real migrant crisis: not enough migrants.

palmbeachdailynews.com/news/20191211/…
"The average Christmas shopper has seen the price of... holiday trees spring up over the past few years, thanks to ... a labor shortage and inclement weather."

The real migrant crisis: not enough migrants.

marketwatch.com/story/this-15-…
"Germany Tries To Mend Skilled Labour Shortage, Wants To Attract Workers Outside EU"

The real migrant crisis: not enough migrants.

republicworld.com/world-news/res…
"a recent report into the [UK] engineering labour market by the ECITB revealing that 91,000 engineers and 29,000 engineering technicians will have retired by 2026, targeted action will be needed to prevent lasting damage to the sector"

thehrdirector.com/business-news/…
'The Manufacturiers et exportateurs du Quebec: “There are simply not enough skilled workers available,” ...urges a rethink of... policies, particularly on immigration, that saw the number of newcomers cut by 20 percent in 2019....'

Not Enough Migrants

cimmigrationnews.com/simply-not-eno…
"THE [UK] HOSPITALITY industry is facing a crisis with businesses set to be hit with staff shortage in the wake of Brexit"

Not Enough Migrants

ilkleygazette.co.uk/news/18100736.…
Japan "anticipated up to 47,500 workers from abroad in the first year of the program designed to address the severe domestic manpower shortage, but the number of people receiving the new visa so far is only 2 to 3 percent of the expected figure."

japantimes.co.jp/opinion/2019/1…
Twenty months of job openings outnumbering unemployed workers.

The real migrant crisis: not enough migrants.

Ontario is asking the federal government to double the number of economic immigrants to the province in order to deal with a skilled labour shortage.

kamloopsmatters.com/national-busin…
Foreign seasonal workers in Gangwon S.Korea went from 62 people in 2016 to 1,759 people in 2018, "the increasing number... due to a lack of local laborers in the agricultural and fisheries industry"

koreabizwire.com/foreign-season…
The real migrant crisis: not enough migrants.

"Laundry production positions languish, unfilled for months. There is intense competition for staff, despite companies paying above market wages and offering good healthcare benefits."

laundryandcleaningnews.com/features/featu…
" Changes to [Ireland's] work permit regime will address labour shortages to allow more chefs, nurses and construction workers from outside the European Union work here."

irishtimes.com/business/trans…
Survey by ILO & UN Women "found that just 25% of Singaporeans said there is a need for migrant workers, while 70% agreed that there is a labour shortage here."

Also a crisis: not enough understanding that the real crisis is not enough migrants.

straitstimes.com/singapore/gift…
" warning... from the British Meat Processors Association... that pigs in blankets... could be in short supply... the fiddly business of wrapping cocktail sausages in bacon had to be done by hand, but... 'we’re short of labour... Ever since Brexit'

theweek.co.uk/104981/fact-ch…
"Early Childhood Ireland reports that providers are facing into a staffing crisis. Over a third of providers are unable to recruit employees with half unable to retain staff. A growing number are advertising for staff from overseas."

irishtimes.com/opinion/the-ir…
"50%. That’s the percentage of human resource managers that tell CareerBuilder they currently have open positions for which they cannot find one qualified candidate"

The real migrant crisis: not enough migrants

hrexchangenetwork.com/hr-talent-acqu…
"BANGKOK – Let’s take a look at the attempt to solve the labor shortage in fisheries; ... issue permits for immigrant workers wanting to work in the fisheries sector."

pattayamail.com/thailandnews/c…
"Japan now has a total population of about 126 million – and that figure is expected to plummet to 88 million by 2065... under a new work visa policy, Japan is expected to hire 340,000 skilled workers from across the world."

ibtimes.com/japans-rapidly…
Federation of Filipino Chinese Chambers of Commerce & Industry President Henry Lim Bon Liong noted infrastructure projects have seen delays of around 3 months due to the labor shortage. He said that skilled laborers have been recruited to work abroad...

bworldonline.com/businesses-pre…
"[The Irish] Minister for Business, Enterprise & Innovation, has announced... all chef grades are now eligible for an employment permit and the occupation will no longer be subject to quotas... to alleviate the skills shortage currently being experienced"

fft.ie/minister-humph…
"Foreign labor shortage cited in Guam's lack of economic growth... the foreign labor shortage which has stymied private sector construction."

The real migration crisis: not enough migrants.

kuam.com/story/41534714…
"In Germany there is a labor shortage in the field of train drivers. That’s why some German states have launched training programs to attract migrants and refugees to fill the gap."

infomigrants.net/en/post/21929/…
" We find that a [UK] domestic manufacturing firm becomes on average between 9% and 12% more productive after hiring at least one foreign manager."

eprints.imtlucca.it/4073/1/WP%20EI…
"Ratios of prime labor force aged (25-64) to retirement aged populations (65 plus) without migration are forecast to fall to historically unprecedented levels in every advanced economy region"

lantpritchett.org/the-future-is-… Image
To keep a stable ratio of prime age labor force to retirement age population would involves advanced economies importing 383 million prime age workers by 2050.

lantpritchett.org/the-future-is-…
To combat population shrinkage, countries look to immigration to fill skill gaps & boost tax revenues...

"British Columbia Restaurant and Foodservices Association [predicts] province will come up short on skilled restaurant labour to the tune of 514,000 workers over the next decade."

vancourier.com/restaurant-ind…
"There is, however, a viable solution to this growing skills gap and US labor shortage: the refugee workforce.... An estimated 2 million college-educated immigrants and refugees in the US are underemployed or underemployed"

qz.com/1772535/how-re…
Texas Farm Bureau’s Mike Miesse: "One fresh produce leader said it well. Do we want a system where we import workers or import our food? I believe the answer is clear."

The real migration crisis: not enough migrants

frontporchnewstexas.com/2020/01/10/you…
"Australia is desperately looking for skilled labour, and with the large numbers of South Africans considering emigrating, the Temporary Skill Shortage visas (482) are proving to be an attractive option to many"

iol.co.za/business-repor…
"Japan is hoping that robots will help solve an impending labour shortage, but getting them to do some of the same work as humans is proving complex"

www2.staffingindustry.com/row/Editorial/…
"a record number of Japanese companies went bankrupt last year due to a shortage of workers."

www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/ne…
Scotland’s “MacGregor Industrial Supplies has outlined its concerns about Brexit in its latest accounts....’The loss of supply of the EU labour force will result in a skills shortage and an increase in labour costs’”

inverness-courier.co.uk/news/firm-fear…
"Houston Restaurants Turn To Immigrants Amidst Worker Shortage"

houstonpublicmedia.org/articles/news/…
"The United States is Starved for Talent... getting (approximately) one extra high-skilled worker [through H1-B] causes a 23% increase in the probability of a successful IPO within five years.."

marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolu…
"Three decades ago, there were 20 workers entering [Atlantic Canada's] labour market for every ten retiring. Now there are only seven"

thechronicleherald.ca/business/local…
"If there’s less population growth, there’s less growth in the number of people to do research... immigration of high-skilled workers... might help the US address its weak productivity growth."

"Fujis and Pink Ladies are some of the most valuable and last to ripen apple varieties in the Northwest. And this winter there are huge swaths of them left unpicked in orchards east of the Cascades.... There was a shortage of picking crews..."

nwnewsnetwork.org/post/labor-sho…
"A critical labor shortage threatens the ability of leafy green and other cool-season vegetable growers to produce and harvest their crops. "

growingproduce.com/vegetables/aut…
By [2030], there will be a shortage of 42,600-121,300 doctors across the country... A 2017 analysis... found that doctors hailing from nations targeted by the [Trump] travel ban schedule an average of 14 million patient visits each year....

niskanencenter.org/trumps-travel-…
"An increasing shortage of workers in Croatia is causing increasing problems ... the government ... considering abolishing all quotas for foreign workers .... "

The real migrant crisis: not enough migrants

thedubrovniktimes.com/news/croatia/i…
"730 jobs... unfilled by Malta-based gaming companies as of the end of 2018 because of a skills shortage... the demand for human resources cannot be satisfied exclusively through home-grown talent but also requires attracting human capital from abroad."

igamingbusiness.com/news/skills-ga…
"UK government set to hasten immigration curbs on low-skilled labour.... Business groups alarmed at prospect... A quarter of the 3.2m people that work in the hospitality industry are non-British..."

ft.com/content/900f66…
"Japan's] welfare ministry plans to extend to fiscal 2026 special transitional measures that grant graduates of care courses provisional certification ...
Officials hope that... will encourage an increasing number of foreign nationals to work in Japan"

japantimes.co.jp/news/2020/01/2…
"[Meghan and Harry's departure] will leave a 'massive labour shortage' within the royal family to perform the types of duties the public is used to seeing,"

The real migrant crisis: not enough migrants

theloop.ca/ctvnews/prince…

[ ;-) ]
"Low unemployment, combined with stricter federal H-2A visa federal regulations imposed by the Trump administration on hiring foreign workers, an aging resident population and other factors, contribute to the difficulty of finding seasonal farm workers"

lancasterfarming.com/news/northern_…
"54 percent of companies [globally] reported skill shortages with businesses in 36 out of 44 countries finding it more difficult to attract skilled talent than in 2018"

bloombergquint.com/business/globa…
“The demographic shift creates a timebomb for the Chinese economy as the world’s most populous nation faces a shortage of labour to power its assembly lines and care for the old”

ft.com/content/a245ee…

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More from @charlesjkenny

Charles Kenny Profile picture
Feb 14
I think ending $1.90/day poverty utterly *isn’t* ‘ending poverty,’ looking at absolute numbers is a valid way to look at the data and there is stuff in this thread that brings important perspective, but three things…
First, the number of people living on less than $10 a day is rising because fewer people are dying young in poorer countries (that’s true in absolute numbers and as a percentage).

More than what’s happening to income, that I think is the best single measure of human progress.
Second, for all $1.90 is far too low, it is also what more than 90% of the planet lived under for nearly all of human history. And $1.90 used to buy you even less (quality of) life than it does now -mortality rates of people living in $1.90 poverty used to be higher than today.
Read 5 tweets
Charles Kenny Profile picture
Apr 7, 2021
My new book for middle schoolers, Your World Better: Global Progress and What You Can Do About It, available to download free from my blog, or you can buy kindle or hard copies (with author payments going to UNICEF).

charleskenny.blogs.com/weblog/2021/04…
Broad message: America and the world are better places to live than they were when your parents or grandparents were young, but there’s still a lot wrong and some stuff getting worse. Working together, your generation can help fix that.
Motivated by talking to my kids and their friends, who seem a bit depressed about the state of the planet. (Who can blame them after the past year?) The idea is to tip readers back from helpless despair towards action motivated by realistic optimism.
Read 5 tweets
Charles Kenny Profile picture
Apr 6, 2021
I just got vaccinated by a woman born in Vietnam, with a vaccine created by two Turkish refugees living in Germany and manufactured by a US company run by a Greek migrant. Thank you, world.
(Apologies re. "Turkish refugees" actually a Turkish migrant and a German born to Turkish parents).
See also the Ebola vaccine, a combination of donors help pay for the vaccinations, it was developed by researchers in US, Germany, Canada, vaccine trials in nine countries, support from WHO.
Read 11 tweets
Charles Kenny Profile picture
Mar 19, 2021
I'm told people in the UK who ordered The Plague Cycle are going to have to wait a little longer to get it. In very partial recompense, I present my utterly arguable list of top ten pandemics, ranked by impact on human history....
1. Neanderthal herpes: Neanderthals were already at home and well adapted to life outside Africa before anatomically modern humans arrived. Why did the Neanderthals end up extinct?
...One (disputed) theory: the newcomers arrived with a herpesvirus that was particularly deadly to previously unexposed locals. Maybe there wouldn’t have been human history at all if it weren’t for this pandemic.
Read 20 tweets
Charles Kenny Profile picture
Mar 5, 2021
The real migrant crisis..
Demand for migrants is high and growing
"Exodus of foreign workers ‘a threat to UK recovery’ Construction, care and hospitality industries all at risk from major shortage of employees, say business leaders"

theguardian.com/world/2021/mar…
Read 297 tweets
Charles Kenny Profile picture
Sep 30, 2020
"The pandemic has highlighted the value of social care workers and the challenging nature of their work. Moreover, there is a significant recruitment challenge within the sector that cannot be solved from the UK labour market."

fenews.co.uk/fevoices/55767…
“The [Taiwan] interior ministry has proposed changes to rules on the use of migrant workers in the construction industry. The proposed rule change is intended to fill a labor shortage and keep building costs under control.”

en.rti.org.tw/news/view/id/2…
“[West Australia’s] Agriculture Minister is calling on the Federal Government to introduce an undocumented worker amnesty system to address the looming national agricultural labour shortage.”

abc.net.au/news/2020-10-0…
Read 167 tweets

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