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Mikey Kay 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Profile picture
@MikeyKayFilms
Dec 13, 2019 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
SNP’s success (47 seats) will likely lead to growing calls for a Scottish referendum. Scotland voted 62% to remain in 2016. #GeneralElection result is clear - the U.K has voted to leave the EU in 2019. But the next drama could be just around the corner.

2. From a defence perspective alone, a successful Scottish referendum would have catastrophic & fracturus consequences. At Faslane on the Clyde river you have the U.K’s nuclear submarine deterrent (Trident) + new generation of hunter-killer submarines. 8 miles away is storage...
3. processing, maintenance and issue of key elements of the UK's Trident Deterrent Missile System and the ammunitioning of all submarine embarked weapons.
4. Royal Air Force Lossiemouth (40miles East of Inverness) is home to one of the 2 UK’s Quick Reaction Alert Capabilities — Typhoon ac on 24/7/365 standby to intercept ac probing UK airspace (mostly Russian). As well as the new P8 Poseidon Maritime Patrol aircraft.

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More from @MikeyKayFilms

Mikey Kay 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Profile picture
Aug 2, 2022
The targeting & killing of AQ #1 in a Kabul safe-house raises a number of questions for me.

1. This type of targeted strike by the CIA needs needs massive amounts of intel. SIGINT & IMINT (usually from drones), and HUMINT (informants). Talibs? 2/

theguardian.com/world/2022/aug…
2. #Zawahiri Strike.

Should it come as a surprise that the AQ #1 is found in Kabul? Just one year after the chaotic and tragic withdrawal of coalition forces from Afghanistan (Biden), and a complete capitulation of power to the Taliban (generated by Trump at Doha) 3/
3. #Zawahiri strike.

Reminder, the reason for the U.S commencing kinetic activity in Afghanistan was post 9/11 and to eradicate AQ training camps from Afghan. The efficacy of the strategy was poor as most senior AQ operatives fled across the porous PAK border (Bin Laden). 4/
Read 7 tweets
Mikey Kay 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Profile picture
Mar 15, 2022
Thread #Ukraine|

Gut wrenching. Key point: a #NFZ wouldn’t prevent this. There are 2 main air operations: Defensive Counter Air (DCA) & Offensive Counter Air, Surface Attack (SA). An NFZ comes under DCA. 2/
2. #Ukraine #NFZ|

What @ZelenskyyUa should be asking @POTUS for is this:

To target RU rockets/artillery *inside Ukraine* you need Close Air Support (CAS), a subset of Offensive Counter Air Surface Attack (OCA SA) missions. 3/
3. #Ukraine|

Weapon of choice (for UK Typhoons) would be Brimstone anti-armour missile. 6 per jet. More on Brimstone here:

thinkdefence.co.uk/brimstone-guid…

U.S weapon of choice would be Hellfire (platforms MQ-9 Reaper, MQ-1B Predator, AH-64).

Watch: U.K Brimstone strikes in Libya

4/
Read 7 tweets
Mikey Kay 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Profile picture
Mar 14, 2022
Thread

#Ukraine| thread here by @aldin_ww showing RU Su-25 Frogfoot ac ultra-low level over Donetsk. The Frogfoot is a RU Close Air Support platform [CAS], and an old one - 1975. And from what I can see, the pair are manoeuvring over Donetsk in what looks like a show of force 2/
2. #Ukraine

Cont’d: the pair have no precision guided munitions (PGMs). Just rocket pods and dumb bomb pylons. This recent video below is one of the Su-25s that took a MANPADs to its rear. There’s a number of takeaways from these videos. 3/
3. #Ukraine| the U.S, U.K and other NATO partners are well versed in CAS using multiple modern platforms and PGM weaponry to degrade the enemy. The U.K have been using Typhoon w/ Paveway 500lb PGMs, and Storm Shadow (inertial nav missiles) in N.Iraq. F-35 now in the mix. 4/5.
Read 6 tweets
Mikey Kay 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Profile picture
Mar 4, 2022
Agree w/ @jensstoltenberg. If the aim is to disrupt and deter RU use of Ukraine airspace, Stinger is your option. Lots of them, closely monitored by SF. Benefits?

1. Air Crews are shit scared of Stinger which has superior counter counter measures. 2/
2. #Ukraine #NFZ

When I flew in Iraq and Afghanistan, even the idea of MANPADs being part of our threat, created all sorts of additional protocols. And Stinger, that’s a nightmare. As soon as a RU ac is taken out by Stinger, RU aircrews’ morale will head south. 3/
3. #Ukraine #NFZ

The logistical tail of creating a 24/7 NFZ is huge. Where will the NATO ac be located? Baltic Air Policing is based out of Lithuania and Estonia. If based out of there, tanking will be required, and you risk Putin striking the bases. Escalation. 4/
Read 16 tweets
Mikey Kay 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Profile picture
Mar 4, 2022
War is brutal. It shows you sadness and despair that stays with you forever, no matter how good life might get in the future. If they are extremely lucky, they’ll walk away with their limbs in tact. But mentally, they are likely to be haunted. #Ukraine 2/
2. #Ukraine| I do admire them. It’s an unnecessary fight for national survival. The alternative isn’t any better - living under Putin. But the following days, weeks, and months will rely on a lot of luck and organic judgement. 3 days training gives them next to nothing. 3/
3. #Ukraine| while just a few hours away from Kyiv, in London, Paris, Madrid, Berlin and other major European capitals, we in the West go about our days pretty much as normal, these young lads will be embarking on a journey with low odds of survival. 4/
Read 4 tweets
Mikey Kay 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Profile picture
Feb 28, 2022
Just look at city’s like Aleppo in Syria to learn no one wins from this. But the civilian population loses desperately. It will take decades to reconstruct. Kharkiv’s citizens will be displaced, forced to find a new life. Then vilified for hoping to find a better life 😞#Ukraine
2. #Ukraine| evidence suggesting Putin is using cluster munitions in #Kharkiv.

The Convention on Cluster Munitions (CMs) was established in 2010. It bans the munition & requires member countries to clear areas contaminated by cluster munition remnants within 10 years 3/
3. #Ukraine| destroy their cluster munition stocks w/in 8 years, and provide assistance for victims.

CMs spread multiple bomblets or submunitions indiscriminately over a wide area, which can be devastating for civilians caught in a strike. 3/
Read 10 tweets

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