Thread by @alexkotch

Bernie Sanders is the national favorite of voters of color, according to new NPR poll. npr.org/2019/12/15/788…

Sanders 29%
Biden 26%
Warren 13%
Buttigieg 6%

Overall numbers:

Biden 24%
Sanders 22%
...
Yang 5%
Bloomberg, who has already spent $100 MILLION of his own money: 4%

Sanders has the least support from white voters among the top four candidates.

Biden 22%
Warren 19%
Buttigieg 18%
Sanders 16%

Anyone who characterizes Bernie's support as mostly white (and male) should not be taken seriously at all. maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/upl…

Interesting: White & older voters favor candidate w/ "best chance to beat Trump," while voters of color & younger voters favor candidate who "shares your position on most issues."

Position
White: 34%
POC: 55%
-45: 54%
45+: 34%

Beat Trump
White: 63%
POC: 42%
-45: 45%
45+: 62%

This suggests that significant amount of support for Biden is based on his perceived electability (which I don't agree w/ & has been shaped by the media in large part) & support for Bernie is more for his progressive policies.

If you want my hot take, I think, as in 2016, Sanders has the best chance of beating Trump. And Biden is almost sure to lose to Trump. Dems' perception of general election electability is very off imo.

Regarding voter enthusiasm, a huge factor in 2016:

Voting for policies you're excited about/young and first-time voters/economic populism > Voting for candidate bc he may win/older voters/status quo Dem politics

New CALIFORNIA poll kqed.org/news/11790984/…

Sanders 26%
Warren 23%
Biden 19%

Hispanic Vote
Sanders 37%
Warren 17%
Biden 16%