If Biden wins 55% of pledged delegates going forward, he wouldn't clinch a majority till June.
If Biden wins 60% of pledged delegates going forward, he'd clinch around late May.
If he wins 65%, he'd clinch around early May.
Even if he wins most states, this could take a while
If Biden wins 60% of pledged delegates going forward, he'd clinch around late May.
If he wins 65%, he'd clinch around early May.
Even if he wins most states, this could take a while
People are responding by pointing to Florida.
That doesn't accelerate things as much as you might think. Let's say Biden wins 85% of FL's delegates and 65% of all other delegates. Still takes till late April to hit the magic number.
That doesn't accelerate things as much as you might think. Let's say Biden wins 85% of FL's delegates and 65% of all other delegates. Still takes till late April to hit the magic number.
This is what I wrote about the delegate math on March 15, 2016. Clear then that Clinton's lead was near-insurmountable vox.com/2016/3/15/1124…
But Democrats structure their nomination contest with proportional rules that make it very hard for someone to actually clinch till late
But Democrats structure their nomination contest with proportional rules that make it very hard for someone to actually clinch till late
