Guys, we need to talk about "warmer weather". It's true that changing seasons may slow virus transmission but
A) We *don't know this*
B) The doubling time of #COVID19 is ~1 week - "warmer weather" may not come soon enough to have an impact *now*
And while I appreciate people are thinking about the future - this is important & we need to do this - the language I see being used often seems to suggest ppl think #COVID19 is something coming in a few months that we might still avoid, what the reality is that it's at our door.
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I'm excited to announce a new paper with @MLReichmuth and @C_Althaus, out now in @PLOSPathogens!
We used phylogenetics & modelling to investigate the introduction & expansion of #SARSCoV2 Alpha & Delta variants into #Switzerland & to simulate different interventions.
1/17
First, we wanted to estimate the number of times Alpha & Delta were introduced into Switzerland before they were dominant.
For this we used sequences: we looked for where Swiss Alpha/Delta seqs descend from non-Swiss sequences - coming to Switzerland from elsewhere.
2/17
We looked at two ways of counting these introductions:
Liberal: every Swiss sequence coming from non-Swiss sequences is an introduction
Conservative: only the first Swiss sequence in a subtree of mixed-Swiss-non-Swiss sequences is an introduction
Benevolent dictators have no place in academic science.
I don't care if they usually make the right decision. Or if people don't think they've abused their power yet.
Science should not depend on one person being well-behaved.
Balance should be built in, power distributed.
1/5
"If you want to go fast, go alone, if you want to go far, go together" the African proverb says.
Can driven, visionary people start up groundbreaking ideas & cut through barriers to implement them? Absolutely! This 100% is part of science.
2/5
But if you want your idea to be a keystone of science communities & the public, you have to make it about more than *you*.
If you want to run a private business, go do that.
If you want to be keystone of public science, you have to be transparent, trustworthy, & stable.
3/5
23B (XBB.1.16) is now available on CoVariants! It's visible as part of Per Country & Per Variant plots, on the shared mutation page - and of course, has a page of its own.
As I covered earlier, 23B (XBB.1.16) is descended from the recombinant 22F (XBB) variant, with some additional mutations. You can read more about how it evolved & acquired those mutations below 👇🏻.
Also from this article:
'Marion Koopmans ... says she has received multiple calls from Bogner“with a rather intimidating tone.” So have colleagues, she adds. “I have heard similar experiences from quite a few.”'
And:
"And Science heard many stories about researchers who saw their data curtailed, or cut off, without explanation. Some linked the actions to their being critical of GISAID or being seen as a potential threat."
If you're an early career researcher (yes even 'just' a PhD student!) 1 of my biggest pieces of advice would be:
Go claim/create your Google Scholar page!! 👈🏻✍️🏻
I put this off bc I thought I 'didn't have enough on it'. I also generally thought "nobody is looking for me".
1/4
Now that I'm (a little) on the other end, I see how wrong I was.
It's *just fine* to not have "much" in your Google Scholar profile - anyone worth their salt will be evaluating you relative to your career state.
Much more important: to be findable!
2/4
And alongside that: it's so useful to have an easy way for people to see what your field is & what you've been up to/who you work with/your expertise.
Google Scholar is also pretty easy to maintain (will vary depending on how unique your name is), as it auto-updates.
3/4
23A (XBB.1.5) is now available on CoVariants! It's visible as part of Per Country & Per Variant plots, on the shared mutation page - and of course, has a page of its own.
As I covered earlier, 23A (XBB.1.5) is descended from the recombinant 22F (XBB) variant, with some additional mutations. You can read more about how it evolved & acquired those mutations below 👇🏻.