Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
Annie Duke Profile picture
@AnnieDuke
Mar 25, 2020 • 5 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
[THREAD] ⬇️
One reason ramping up testing really matters: if reported cases are low because of lack of testing, people can’t asses their risk.

#Covid19testing #coronavirus #socialdistancing #numbers

[1/5]
The more testing we do, the more actual cases and reported cases converge. That allows people to more accurately asses their risk of infection.

[2/5]
Imagine we did no testing so report cases was *zero*. People would asses their risk of infection at zero.

[3/5]
We need more testing to give the public the chance to know figure out what their risk is.

[4/5]
And we need to report estimated cases rather than just those who have tested positive.

#covid19 #TestingForCovid19 #TestingForSymptomatics #TestingandTracing

[End thread 5/5]

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Annie Duke

Annie Duke Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @AnnieDuke

Annie Duke Profile picture
Nov 18, 2022
In < 2 weeks (Nov. 28) I’m launching my 1st cohort-based decision-making class on @MavenHQ. It’s for entrepreneurs, executive-level decision makers, investors & anyone seeking to make higher quality decisions in their business, work, and personal life.

1/ 11 Image
I've been studying how to make better decisions under uncertainty my whole adult life: professional poker player career, work in cognitive science, writing 3 books about decision making & consulting w/ incredible companies like @firstround @RenegadePtnrs and @mParticle.
2/11
My clients have to make high stakes decisions under conditions of uncertainty every day.
3/11
Read 11 tweets
Annie Duke Profile picture
Nov 9, 2022
Quitting gets a bad rap. Language favors grit over quitting. We’re taught that people who quit are cowards and that quitting is an obstacle to overcome.

1/6
I reject this. I wrote #QUIT to rehabilitate quitting’s image and to show people that it is a valuable decision skill and our best tool for making decisions under uncertainty.

2/6
It allows us to change course when new information is revealed, let go of things that aren’t worthwhile, and make the best next move.

3/6
Read 6 tweets
Annie Duke Profile picture
Nov 3, 2022
The most meaningful conversations your team needs to be having (that you probably aren't already) are around quitting.

#THREAD

1/4
It’s critical to understand that while your intuition is probably telling you that improving quitting behavior won’t make a difference in your decision-making or your business – that intuition is not correct.

2/4
Quitting is your secret weapon. It’s a superpower that takes time to master, but once you do, you will save your organization time, energy, and money.

3/4
Read 4 tweets
Annie Duke Profile picture
Oct 31, 2022
Lead your team through this exercise during my Flight Cohort on @BalloonPlatform. You'll identify mission-critical parts to tackle first, create experiments to decide what’s worth pursuing, identify tasks to put on the backburner & build a project plan around these pieces.

1/4
I can guarantee using this framework with your team will help you make the best next move and save your team time, energy, and money.

2/4
If you’ve already purchased #QUIT, you can get a discount code for 10% off of the Balloon Flight Cohort by filling out this proof of purchase form: surveymonkey.com/r/QuitADuke

3/4
Read 4 tweets
Annie Duke Profile picture
Oct 25, 2022
Inflexible goals aren’t a good fit for a flexible world.

1/6
After we set a goal, it becomes a fixed object.

The goal becomes the object of our grit, instead of all the values expressed and balanced when we originally set the goal, even as all the inputs that led to choosing that particular goal evolve.

2/6
The conditions in the world change.

Our knowledge changes.

The weights we attach to the benefits and costs change.

Our preferences and values change.

3/6
Read 6 tweets
Annie Duke Profile picture
Oct 25, 2022
In #QUIT, I outline the various cognitive and motivational forces that work against good quitting behavior. There’s sunk cost bias, desire for certainty, escalation of commitment, status quo bias, and endowment bias (to name a few).

1/9
I go into different mental models and frameworks to build good quitting behaviors into your toolbox, like thinking in expected value, increasing flexibility in goal-setting, establishing “quitting criteria” and contracts, etc.

2/9
I can’t emphasize enough how important these tools are — but it can be difficult to bring your team or company along as well, especially when collaborative settings add in a whole host of additional group dynamics and biases that work against good decision-making.

3/9
Read 9 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

Send Email!

:(