Excellent work by MIER!
I however would dispute though on @DGHisham and MIER suggestion that our epi curve is flattening
You need a logarithmic plot to visualize the suppression of the epi curve
What i would suggest is that the MCO has impacted by preventing an exponential surge
I however would dispute though on @DGHisham and MIER suggestion that our epi curve is flattening
You need a logarithmic plot to visualize the suppression of the epi curve
What i would suggest is that the MCO has impacted by preventing an exponential surge
of covid cases ie a linear progression of cumulative cases
The South Korea model illustrates authentic plateauing of the epi curve which is continually maintained
I cannot hide my disappointment that @KKMPutrajaya is not analyzing its own big data which it guards jealously
The South Korea model illustrates authentic plateauing of the epi curve which is continually maintained
I cannot hide my disappointment that @KKMPutrajaya is not analyzing its own big data which it guards jealously
And instead relies on big boys eg MIER and JP Morgan to analyze and report on MOH statistics
I personally know of a bunch of young data scientists, public health physicians and artificial intelligence experts in MOH who could easily crunch these numbers @DrDzul @ProfAdeeba
I personally know of a bunch of young data scientists, public health physicians and artificial intelligence experts in MOH who could easily crunch these numbers @DrDzul @ProfAdeeba
And offer an inhouse perspective of #COVID19Pandemic epidemiology, what it takes to dampen the curve in terms of testing-tracking-isolating- MCO-EMCO but alas why are they not allowed the microphone? @DrDzul @ProfAdeeba @chriskc_Lee @DrKhorSK @boosulyn @nazrikh @malaysiakini
We have not seen any dramatic upsurge @KKMPutrajaya @MyHEALTHKKM daily report cases. The trajectory is relatively arithmetric ie not exponential since MCO on 18 March
The curve is still for Malaysia on the uptrend. It is slowing but not reducing substantially JP Morgan suggests as a move from acceleration to late accumulation.
I m not convinced that our epi curve has flattened yet.
I will share another model which also studied the doubling time of covid cases in each country.
So i’d say hold your horses we’ve much more to do in terms of ramping our testing ...
I will share another model which also studied the doubling time of covid cases in each country.
So i’d say hold your horses we’ve much more to do in terms of ramping our testing ...
trasforming our outdated contact tracing modus operandi to apps-based with AI features’and isolating better. Family-based quarantine is a failure. The Sarawak fiasco is tragic. South Korea has a GPS app that detects qurantine defaulters and if found guilty fined $7K
The SK linear plot shows it has dampened the peak of the curve and gearing into the deceleration phase
There is authentic flattening of the epi curve on SK logarithmic plot. Now compare this with our #COVID experience!
There is authentic flattening of the epi curve on SK logarithmic plot. Now compare this with our #COVID experience!
What is worrying next is our rising nos nursed in the ICU and rising Case Fatality Rate (CFR) from a low 0.4% to 1.5% Academics and data crunchers at MIER @jpmorgan etc would welcome better access to @KKMPutrajaya big data base like here in the case of US-CFR stratified by age
@threadreaderapp unroll
