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In reading Cptn Crozier’s plea for help, it occurred to me we must stop using old paradigms to define war.

War is no longer just bombs and casualties.

When a weak nation uses information warfare to install puppets & overthrow democracies, is that not war brookings.edu/research/weapo…
“AI has the potential to hyperpower Russia’s use of disinformation … And unlike in the conventional military space, the United States and Europe are ill-equipped to respond to AI-driven asymmetric warfare in the information space.”-@BrookingsInst
We are in an undeclared war for truth. The GOP will not declare it as war because their perfidy is tantamount to treason.
“Artificial intelligence is the future, not only for Russia, but for all humankind. It comes with colossal opportunities, but also threats that are difficult to predict. Whoever becomes the leader in this sphere will become the ruler of the world.”1 – Putin, 2017.”-@BrookingsInst
“A people that no longer can believe anything cannot make up its mind. It is deprived not only of its capacity to act but also of its capacity to think and to judge. And with such a people you can then do what you please.”– Hannah Arendt, 1978, @BrookingsInst
The redacted version of the Mueller Report, dissected here, makes it clear we were attacked and Mueller himself made it clear the attacks are ongoing.
It’s unsettling that many people get their news from soundbites rather than reading the source material. It should be a mandate moving forward that when your country is under attack from a weak nation trying to bootstrap its way back to glory, read how they’re actually doing it.
“Russia’s corruption, decline in rule-of-law and oppressive govt regulations have produced a poor business environment (but) Kremlin believes it can still hold comparative advantage over the West w/high-impact, low-cost asymmetric warfare to correct the imbalance.”-@BrookingsInst
“Under Putin, Cold War-era ‘active measures’—overt or covert influence operations aimed at influencing public opinion and politics abroad—have been revived and adapted to the digital age.”-@BrookingsInst
“‘The erosion of the distinction between war and peace, and the emergence of a grey zone’ has been one of the most striking developments in the Russian approach to warfare, according to Chatham House’s @KeirGiles.”-@BrookingsInst
“Maskirovka, the Soviet/Russian term for the art of deception..is a concept that figures prominently in Russian strategic thinking, including the use of fake weapons..one Russian company is producing an army of inflatable missiles, tanks, and jets that appear real”-@BrookingsInst
“Russian disinformation and cyber attacks against the West rely on obfuscation and deception in line with the guiding principles of maskirovka. During the 2016 U.S. Presidential elections, for example, Russian citizens working in a troll factory in St. Petersburg.”-@BrookingsInst
“The Internet Research Agency (IRA), set up fake social media accounts pretending to be real Americans. These personas then spread conspiracy theories, disinformation, and divisive content meant to amplify societal polarization by pitting groups against each other”-@BrookingsInst
“The IRA troll factory itself, while operating with the knowledge and support of the Kremlin and the Russian intelligence, was founded by proxy: an oligarch known as ‘Putin’s chef,’ Yevgeny Prigozhin. Concord, a catering company controlled by Prigozhin, was the main funder.”-BI
“Such obfuscation tactics were designed to conceal the true source and goals of the influence operations in the United Stated while allowing the Kremlin to retain plausible deniability if the operations were uncovered—nonconventional maskirovka in practice.”-@BrookingsInst
“Russia’s limited financial resources, shift in strategic thinking toward information warfare, and the continued prevalence of maskirovka as a guiding principle of engagement, strongly suggest that in the near term, Moscow will ramp up the development of information warfare.”-BI
“Russia will not be the innovator of new technologies due its financial and human capital constraints. But as it has already done in its attacks against the West, it will continue to co-opt existing available technologies to serve as weapons of asymmetric warfare.”-@BrookingsInst
“The Kremlin’s greatest innovation in its information operations against the West has not been technical. Rather, Moscow’s savviness has been to recognize that: (1) ready-made commercial tools and digital platforms can be easily weaponized.”-@BrookingsInst
“...and (2) digital information warfare is cost-effective and high-impact, making it the perfect weapon of a technologically and economically weak power. AI-driven asymmetric warfare (ADAW) capabilities could provide Russia with additional comparative advantage.”-@BrookingsInst
“Costs of Russian corruption of 2016 election:
* Facebook ads ($100k)
*Google ads ($4700)
* 36000 Twitter bot accounts ($3 mil)
* Spy trip to U.S. ($50k)
* Plus divisive content production/DNC attacks
=
$4 mil🤦🏼‍♀️to run the most high-profile influence operation against the U.S”-BI
😳”Once the precision of this distribution ecosystem is paired with emotionally manipulative deep fake content delivered by entities that appear to be human..Hannah Arendt’s prediction of a world in which there is no truth and no trust may still come to pass.”-@BrookingsInst
So I ask you again, is this not war.
We may not have known in 2016 that Russia was going to target us, but we probably should have. As a nation, we can’t afford to ignore the struggles of other countries. Russia’s attacks on Ukraine offered blueprints.
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