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Another failure of a health department responsible for contact tracing which has been shown to be vitally important. @NYCHealthy with a $1.6B(!) budget and 6,000 employees gave up on it on 3/10 when they only had 36 cases. cc: @julie_kelly2 @AlexBerenson @sidrosenberg 1/
“They’re coming in so intensely now that being able to give you a detailed case breakdown, we’re not in that position to do that at this moment because there are so many coming forward,” - Mayor DiBlasio on 3/10/20 - NYC only had 36 cases. cnbc.com/2020/03/10/nyc… 2/
At the time, NYC Dept of Health only had 50 people handling contact tracing. They realized how understaffed they were and tried to recruit 100 more.
nydailynews.com/coronavirus/ny… 3/
In a desperate attempt to add more "disease detectives", the NYC Dept of Health (w/ 6000 employees and a $1.6B budget) did a pop-up job event on 3/12. "There will be on the spot job offers." eventbrite.com/e/nyc-dohmh-fu…
hanys.org/search/?action… 4/
@CDC failed here too. In a 3/7 guidance, they acknowledged that contact tracing may not be feasible anymore due to staffing issues and recommended backing off contact tracing. 3/7. There was 437 confirmed cases in U.S. cdc.gov/coronavirus/20… 5/
Meanwhile, intense contact tracing (albeit intrusive) in places like South Korea and Taiwan has been shown to have undoubtedly prevented what happened in NYC. channelnewsasia.com/news/commentar… 6/
The U.S. system is set up to have CDC offer support to state/local health officials who are tasked to do contact tracing during an outbreak. NYC wasn't prepared. LA isn't either. Countries like Ireland trained 1,400 to do contract tracing by phone: euractiv.com/section/digita… 7/
@NYCMayor and especially @NYCHealthComm Oxiris Barbot need to be held to account.
"The risk to New Yorkers from coronavirus is low and our preparedness as a city is very high," Barbot - 2/2/20
Really? LA needs to demand intense contact tracing so they don't turn into NYC.
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This is the point 👇 that most folks are missing or are forgetting. The models in real time were assuming that the pipeline of cases were already a no-brainer. That's where they were most wrong. cc: @julie_kelly2 @@ScottAdamsSays @seanmdav @AlexBerenson
THEORY: NYC's curve flattened the way it did because front-line healthcare workers starting taking prophylactic hydroxycholoroquine very early & started giving it to patients sooner/more often. I heard that directly from people on front line.
Trump was repeating what was anecdotally being reported but other countries were already using it. Docs in NYC knew side effects were minimal &risk was worth it. Explains curve flattening though so quickly. @AlexBerenson @julie_kelly2
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Beekman Cruger 🇺🇸
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"In Crisis, Opportunity for Obama". That's the headline to a famous 2008 @WSJ article about President-elect Obama and the economic crisis at the time. The @RahmEmanuel line "you never want a serious crisis go to waste"is from it.
wsj.com/articles/SB122… It's Trump's turn. 1/
This is a thread of the opportunities that will hopefully come from this crisis. There's a commonly used trope about how the Chinese word for crisis and opportunity is the same. It's not true. What is true is that today's crisis was mainly caused by China & the WHO. 2/
1st: Stop funding the WHO. They ignored Taiwan early & slow played the dangers all for fear of losing what little cooperation they get from China. (Meanwhile, Taiwan has only 2 deaths.) Blood is on the WHO's hands. dailycaller.com/2020/03/20/who… 3/
Read 11 tweets
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Beekman Cruger 🇺🇸
@BeekmanCruger
SARS was a Chinese virus. CoVID-19 is too. Fight me.

This is a thread about how we've been down this road before.

Thanks to @almostjingo @chiIIum @themarketswork @TheLastRefuge2 @tracybeanz for the inspiration. (1)
2/ SARS (or Sudden Acute Respiratory Syndrome) is short for "SARS-CoV". The CoV means Coronavirus. There are thousands of types of variants of coronavirus and the first SARS-CoV variant caused over 900 deaths with thousands more infected.
3/ Scientists know A LOT about how that one started and how/where it spread thanks to a multinational effort led by Hong Kong researchers. Chinese health officials made it difficult however in the early stages for groups like WHO to get valuable info (sound familiar?).
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