@g_kallis @KHayhoe @ryankatzrosene I missed the IMF graph (where?). On the IMF, my colleague did a graph on how the IMF has constantly revised down GDP figures (the start of each line is the first estimate of GDP growth in the given year, each dot subsequent revisions (biannual).
folk.uio.no/roberan/t/GDP_…
folk.uio.no/roberan/t/GDP_…
@g_kallis @KHayhoe @ryankatzrosene With the GFC, there was a bounce back to trend (for CO2), but the lower growth since 2010 or so could be (partially) due to the lower GDP growth. I think IMF attributes the lower growth (previous figure) to the GFC. Other crises have had a loss of output (ref your other tweets)
@g_kallis @KHayhoe @ryankatzrosene In any case, this crisis is going to be somewhat different to others. It looks like a much harder hit & may have consequences which linger for many years (even if corona is under control by end 2020). There will be a rebound of sorts, but whether it gets us back on trend???
@g_kallis @KHayhoe @ryankatzrosene [I never knew quote-tweets were impolite, though I understand why. It would also mean I have a lot of impolite followers who I never thought of as impolite! Not sure how many people know that 'rule'...]
