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NONE of the coronavirus predictive models take into account that China let this freely spread at least a month or more before there were travel restrictions from both China AND Europe - those models would have shown a world peak and hospitals overrun much sooner... 1/3
I'm not saying go out & get back to normal - I'm saying it's time for mass antibody testing- me first The predictive models have only been set to the worst case scenarios when some believe this to have started.. w/o taking into account earlier dates and unrestricted travel. 2/3
Numbers should be run knowing the data we have now combined with pneumonia and flu related/similar deaths starting in at least late November. We couldve had a high death rate already due to COVID-19, but doctors checked another box when we didnt know precisely what it was. 3/3
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