This is another way of visualizing the fact that lockdowns have made coronavirus outbreaks go linear. It remains to be seen whether they can make the outbreak actually decline in the U.S. (and UK).
R > 1 means a lot of people die but we get herd immunity
R < 1 means we suppress the outbreak and can start #TestAndTrace
R = 1 means a lot of people die, but somewhat fewer than if R>1, and we stay in lockdown indefinitely
R = 1 is not a good outcome.
R < 1 means we suppress the outbreak and can start #TestAndTrace
R = 1 means a lot of people die, but somewhat fewer than if R>1, and we stay in lockdown indefinitely
R = 1 is not a good outcome.
R > 1 --> "let's all just get the virus"
R < 1 --> "crush the curve"
R = 1 --> "flatten the curve"
I feel like R=1 is a bad enough outcome that the early rhetoric about "flattening the curve" did some real damage to the public's ideas about how to respond to this epidemic.
R < 1 --> "crush the curve"
R = 1 --> "flatten the curve"
I feel like R=1 is a bad enough outcome that the early rhetoric about "flattening the curve" did some real damage to the public's ideas about how to respond to this epidemic.
