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0.57% to 1% is lower than the 3%+ assumption that led to the lockdowns.

The 11,477 includes many “probable” cases; not actual. (Thats from your above tweet).

As the deaths rise so do the cases count; CFR will not necessarily rise above 1%.

Only 10% dow/tri-state area has it?
I did not spend much time on the fact that many Covid-19 deaths are not lab-tested; it’s people who officials assume died from Covid.

NY added 3,778 “probable” cases to its death count. This is more than 10% of the UNITED STATES count which is at 33K when counting those 3,778.
Before those 3,778 probable cases, NYC had 6,589 confirmed cases. So the probable count adds 57% to the known case count for NYC and more than 10% for the US count.

Data like these drive lockdown decisions.
GET THIS: How did NY land at the number of 3,778 probable Covid deaths from March 11 though April 13? Well, read what NYC health commissioner said. Read it from CNBC because if I tweet it, ill be labled a conspiracy theorist (second part):
The CDC says MEs can count “probable” Covid-19s deaths as actual ones. Ok. Ill argue about that a diff time but why not tell us how many people in NYS/NYC or nationwide “probably” have Coronavirus? Why rely only on hard testing for that? Why can’t we have consistency with data?
NYC upped by 57% its Coronavirus death count a few days ago by adding 3,700 “probable” Covid deaths. Ok. Can we up the overall case count to include probable cases? No no Yossi. Don’t because that would lower the Case Fatality Rate and it will also up the number of people who are
seen as potentially imune from getting sick from Covid and we can’t have that. We need to count all Covid numbers to the darkest of sides even if it means different standards and contradictory numbers. Like on the one hand Covid has a very high CFR because NY has 16K deaths out
of 226K cases which is a 7.0% death rate, but then in the same time behave as if everyone who wants to visit a hospital has Corona and everyone who breathed the same air as an infected person got it too. This would mean the 16K deaths is from MILLIONS - not 226K - of cases which
if true, then the Case Fatality Rate drops from an assumed 7.0% to 0.53% of even lower. But instead of counting it this way, we idiots counted that 3, 4, 5, 6 percent of those millions will die; which gave us the clown “models” that millions in the US will die. Sounds too simple?
I know but not only did we assume NY has 226K cases and 3 million cases at the same time, but worse: We applied the CFR from the 226K count onto the 3 million count which is why we expected needing 30K ICU beds in a matter of weeks.

Clowns. Literal clowns.

“Dr. Murray.”
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