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Hard to keep people locked down:

In Norway:
1st week after lockdown 65% movement reduction
One month later, only 34% reduction

(based on mobile data, nrk.no/norge/mer-beve…)
This is why moderate distancing is a more plausible and sustainable long-term strategy

Moderate social distancing

- has more deaths in short run, but much fewer in long run

- is sustainable, because 1) people can live locked down like Sweden but not like Italy in long run; 2) long-run lockdown costs lower

forbes.com/sites/bjornlom…
Here is my Forbes article making that point forbes.com/sites/bjornlom…
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