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28,535 Tests (612,031 total). An increase on yesterday and over 25k in a day

18,401 People (444,222 total). Ditto

5,386 +ve ( 143,464 total)

5.29 tests for 1 +ve 3.41 people for 1 +ve.

768 Died (19,506) total. 13.59%. A marked increase on yesterday
Those are, of course HOSPITAL deaths and includes some revised figures from Wales. God knows what our total excess deaths are but I am guessing 45k based on @ChrisGiles_ calculations yesterday.

I attach @Egbert_PengWu cumulative data charts.

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More from @fascinatorfun see all

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Fionna O'Leary, 🕯#FBPE
@fascinatorfun
This is interesting.

56% in a care home asymtomaric at the time of transmission

But 24/27 later went on to develope symptoms.

We need to think about those 27 especially as well as the 21 who were symptomatic but probably were not for a few days.

How will that work “out here”?
It is interesting for a number of reasons

The starting point

The finding out

The response

And lessons to learn

Description

Feb 29
X2 daily basic checks =Temperature? Other symptoms? Staff too

1.3.2020. Staff member +ve
Worked on 26 + 28/2/2020
2/3 Resident symptomatic
By March 6th all staff fully equipped with PPE including N95 masks.

Despite all that the infection had already spread.

8/3/2020. Tests. 6 residents positive. 2 asymptomatic.

More precautions.
Read 6 tweets
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Fionna O'Leary, 🕯#FBPE
@fascinatorfun
Excellent from @ActuaryByDay on ICU Network reports

BAME, male and lower economic groups very over represented in ICU and in bad outcomes.

Surviving ICU is still 50/50 overall!

Below age 50, 1-in-4 dies.

Above age 70, 1-in-3 lives.
And, again, for “they would have died anyway” , merchants, the mean age on admission was just under 60 years old and the vast majority (92.5%) to ICU were living independently without assistance. But c 50% die.

On top of those too old or frail to be admitted to ICU of course.
A couple of charts to add to Stuart’s thread.

Almost all ICU patients need respiratory support but it looks as if the reliance on ventilator support, whilst considerable, has reduced to below 70%. Most require cardiovascular support.

Over 20% require renal support
Read 5 tweets
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Fionna O'Leary, 🕯#FBPE
@fascinatorfun
813. HOSPITAL deaths. (20,341 total) 13.7%

28,781 Tests (640,792 total)

73,614 People (517,836 total). This includes a retrospective 50,499 people with negative tests between 31/1/20 - 24/4/20. It seems not ALL labs reported ALL results. WHAT?!

4913 +ve. ( 148,377 total)
Taking into account a large extra cohort of 50k people (30/1/20-24/4/20) who were tested but produced -ve results it looks as if about 28% of the people actually tested are positive out of over a half a mill people tested

But horrendous deaths-7 weeks since 1st hospital death
@jneill ‘s graphs

Read 9 tweets

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