Sunday thread: 1. The USA, etc. hoovering up reagents and testing kit, not to mention PPE, output leaving PH unable to order/import in volume to expand (targeted) testing, both the kind to determine if someone currently infect, and for antibody presence to show past infection.
2. Even setting aside possibility still debate within gov't to what extent to expand testing, it means testing won't be as extensive as officially OKd. Means true scope/scale will still be unknown to policy makers/public. We know per media ICU capacity NCR about to be reached.
3. Anecdotally, three imp't things: a. In places (often below media radar), lockdown/quarantine isn't really practiced, because to even try to do so would result in public revolt. So it's laissez-faire. Means #COVID19PH could be rampant but anyway no data. b. People jittery...
are allergic to news so would actually rather have it suppressed lest it raise tempers (shortages of food) or lead to epidemics of despair (such as cases of suicide) so in a sense, leadership and public would prefer comfort of turning a blind eye than face frightening realities;
c. Business has supposedly privately told government the economy can withstand lockdown until June. Combinations of a, b, c, plus impossibility of truly ramping up testing means government could just keep extending the lockdown until June, and then proclaim victory. Because...
there is really no other strategy to at least lessen the effects of #COVID19PH than the lockdown, even though it can and probably has, run riot in depressed areas with the highest population densities. So essentially, periodic extensions of lockdown until maximum stresspoint...
economy can bear, then opening up and putting the best face on whatever numbers (limited by limited testing anyway) can show. Meanwhile government will focus on keeping the social volcano from erupting.
To my mind, borne out by the government’s proposals which seems inclusive of lockdown until June and modified quarantine thereafter, stretching late into the year and even to the next, until a vaccine can be found and/or some sort of herd immunity happens. 
