Thread by @MarkkuPeltonen

Use of care and mortality due to corona in Finland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Iceland and Estonia; data from yesterday 26.4.

Read the whole thread. (English)

Fig 1. Number of persons in intensive care per day. Measures the burden on intensive care capacity. 1/x

Fig 2. Number of persons in hospital care per day. Measures the burden on hospital capacity. 2/x

Fig 3. Mortality per million population. Finlands numbers corrected starting 21.4 as capital area Helsinki is reporting deaths at care homes which were previously missing (read below). 3/x

Fig 4. Mortality per million population on log-scale, by days since 2/million deaths in the country. Finlands numbers corrected starting 21.4 as capital area Helsinki is reporting deaths at care homes which were previously missing (read below). 4/x

Fig 5. Absolute number of deaths by days since 10th death in the country. Finlands numbers corrected starting 21.4 as capital area Helsinki is reporting deaths at care homes which were previously missing (read below). 5/x

Geographical differences within Finland; might be of interest to other countries to understand the spread&trend between the capital area (Helsinki) vs rest.
Fig 6. Nr of persons in intensive care/day by the five “specialised medical care regions”: 6/x

Fig 7. Within Finland: Number of persons in hospital care per day by the five “specialised medical care regions”: 7/x

Fig 8(8). Within Finland: Mortality per million in capital area (Helsinki) vs rest of Finland combined. 8/x

Finlands mortality numbers corrected 21-23.4, as capital area Helsinki reported deaths at care homes which were previously missing. I don’t have exact dates of deaths for the corrected; that’s why the curve starts at 23.4. Finland followed Norways trajectory? 9/x

Regional differences *within* country might reflect differences in how the virus started to spread (at some place more of infected earlier; “hidden” initial spreading etc); the same applies for between-country differences. 10/

In Finland, the restrictions were applied at the same time everywhere; the importance of applying these “early” (=before disease widespread) elsewhere as compared to capital area might be important? 11/x

The same regional differences can be seen within many countries (Swe, Est at least).
I’ve expected Sweden care-numbers would decline; still at high level. “new unique ICU patients/day” still stable in Sweden; what happens between regions? 12/x
svt.se/datajournalist…

While comparisons about the *levels between countries* with this kind of data is difficult, I do think these give a rough idea about the *within country changes*, and differences in *when* changes happen in different countries. 13/x

To be clear: I work at THL but my work not related to corona (dementia/diabetes); everything here my own opinions.

All data here from public sources; also the Finnish data.

I’m not an expert on infectious disease epidemiology. 14/14