Let's be crystal clear:
2% of the population tested per month is where we are NOW. This would be a plan to tread water on testing.
US pop'n is ~328m
2% = 6.56m per month
= 218K per day
Which is precisely the average # of US tests over the past week.
2% of the population tested per month is where we are NOW. This would be a plan to tread water on testing.
US pop'n is ~328m
2% = 6.56m per month
= 218K per day
Which is precisely the average # of US tests over the past week.
To put this in perspective, @trvrb estimates we have 300k-600k new cases per day across the US.
Over past week, the US has averaged 218K tests/day, confirming 29.7K cases/day, for a 14.3% positive rate. So only ID'ing about ~10% of total cases.
Over past week, the US has averaged 218K tests/day, confirming 29.7K cases/day, for a 14.3% positive rate. So only ID'ing about ~10% of total cases.
If you hold the positive rate constant at 14.3%, we'd need to be doing about *2 million* tests/day to reach the lower end of the estimate (300k new cases).
That means we need to be testing closer to 20% of the US population every month, not 2%.
Maybe the WH forgot a decimal?
That means we need to be testing closer to 20% of the US population every month, not 2%.
Maybe the WH forgot a decimal?
Please, reporters, when you report that 2% figure, do the math and compare it to the status quo.
This piece presently says 2% but doesn't specify the time period. Result is that it misleadingly portrays a plan to tread water as a plan to scale up.
This piece presently says 2% but doesn't specify the time period. Result is that it misleadingly portrays a plan to tread water as a plan to scale up.
