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As the public is increasingly arguing about what it takes for a “COVID-19 death” to count in the numbers, it’s interesting to note that the actual flu deaths are CDC “estimates” as well – potentially as high as 6x larger than what is widely quoted. 🤔
blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/c…
“[flu death counts] are estimates that the CDC produces by multiplying the number of flu death counts reported by various coefficients produced through complicated algorithms”

Ok. Cool. Their models are always solid.
“there are little data to support the CDC’s assumption that the number of people who die of flu each year is on average six times greater than the number of flu deaths that are actually confirmed.”

Oh?
Wait, wut? “in the past it was justifiable to err on the side of substantially overestimating flu deaths, in order to encourage vaccination...”
“In other words, the coronavirus is not anything like the flu: It is much, much worse.”
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Matt Beebe
@VoteBeebe
There is a middle ground. Broad testing with rapid contact tracing, iterative testing, and quarantine (even presumptive quarantine) would be a far better solution than what we're experiencing now, and far less deadly than what is being proposed by some.
Doing this would actually delay the spread, and potentially delay it significantly enough that the "area under the curve" actually is reduced as the virus is able to be "snuffed out" in some geographies.
It won't likely be a permanent eradication — our new normal will be persistent vigilance — but this approach would result in both economic recovery and reduced infections by this aggressive risk mitigation/avoidance throughout the country.
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Matt Beebe
@VoteBeebe
To be clear: We should be reopening our economy. But this is still a highly transmissible disease with deadly outcomes. We shouldn’t be reopening with an aura of invincibility that downplays the overall risk. People out there refusing to wear masks are reckless. #WearIt #txlege
And no, I don’t think we need mandatory masks w/ fines. We need straight talk about how deadly this is, a plan for widespread random testing of healthy/asymptomatic people w/ quarantines for positive or likely positives. And continued smart policies for social interactions.
Most will voluntarily wear masks & practice smart social hygiene when presented with the facts of COVID19. This whole argument about reopening the economy has caused too many intelligent people to downplay seriousness in hopes for a (needed) recalibration of mandatory lockdowns.
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Matt Beebe
@VoteBeebe
No, the president is not seeking to develop UV pens like Tommy Lee Jones used in Men in Black or water board people w/ Clorox. The media intimating he was is dishonest & agenda-driven. BUT, we need to talk about his penchant for an unfiltered “stream of consciousness”, 1/
or more colorfully, his “diarrhea the mouth”. His off the cuff “brainstorming” at the public briefings is becoming increasingly irresponsible. It’s not “insanity” though. It’s reflective of personality traits already “baked in”, & you either love them or hate him for them. 2/
The tendency to always interject his ideas or thoughts or ask “out of the box” questions comes from a genuine desire to help & a perverse belief that his “very good brain” has unique insights. Here’s the rub: that’s actually a sign of a very good leader when done appropriately 3/
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