Midterms are done, at least as far as contribution to campaigns are concerned. There have been several looks at spending by the far right groups, specifically Empower Texans. I think they are seeing part of the picture, but not the whole enchilada. This will be the enchilada.
When I define ET World, it's three categories of donors to Texas elections
The first category of donor in ET World is
(ET) = Empower Texans PAC, Texans For Fiscal Responsibility PAC, and Texas Right To Life PAC #txlege
Continuing the levels of ET World
The second category of donor is
(ET9) = The 9 largest donors to the Empower Texans PAC.
These 9 donors make up 97% of the ET PAC, 96% of the TFFR PAC, and 78% of TRL. This overwhelming funding to the 3 PACs is why all three are flagged as ET
How did ET World do last night? Here are the pie charts for the TX House and Senate, with all contributions going to ET backed candidates from those in the Empower Texans orbit from 05/23 - 10/27/18. Green are winners. #txlege
Some big plays that didn't get winners in the TX Senate. Who were the ET World backers for Konni Burton in SD10 from 5/23 - 10/27/18? Who were the backers for Don Huffines in SD16? #txlege
Some big plays didn't get winners in the TX House either. Who were the ET World backers for Matt Rinaldi in HD115 from 5/23 - 10/27/18? Who were the backers for Deanna Metzger in HD107? And what about Jonathan Boos in HD113? And let's include Lisa Luby Ryan in HD114 too. #txlege
Early Vote kudos to these top 5 counties for really getting out the vote on Day 11. Amounts are % of registered voters casting on ballot on Thursday. 1. Hays County - 4.21% 2. Travis County - 3.91% 3. Denton County - 3.50% 4. Fort Bend County - 3.40% 5. Collin County - 3.34%
There are moments when my brain starts swimming with Early Voting and the top 30 TX counties. I needed a visual to help me keep locations on all of them straight. 12.3 of the 15.7 million registered Texas voters live in these 30 counties (78%). The map helped me, so I’m sharing
Building on the map above, because rabbit holes seem to be my specialty, here is a pie chart comparing Counties 1 - 30. What 1% of voter turnout gets you in Harris County (1) is very different than what 1% gets you in Randall County (30) #txlege#VoteTexas
When you say it's the Top 30 Counties and it's 78% of the TX registered voters, your brain knows that's a lot. But again, I think the pie chart drives that home. Here are all 30 counties labeled individually, and the 224 others as a group. #txlege#VoteTexas
I've started pulling the 8 Day Report data into the site (just starting, so don't get crazy on me yet), but I had to share 4 pie charts from the DFW area. The 8 Day Report is from 09/28/18 - 10/27/18. #txlege#txed
Here are the 8 Day Report pie charts for Stickland (HD92), Rinaldi (HD115), Metzger (HD107) and Boos (HD113).
3/ Here’s the deal: The problems reported are the result of “voters hitting a button or using the selection wheel before the screen is finished rendering,” which de-selects the pre-filled candidate selection. trib.it/1C7
Day 4 EV Totals for the 15 biggest TX counties have been posted with the TX Secretary Of State. Here are the stats after 4 days of EV (% is of registered voters who have cast a ballot). Individual counties will follow.
2018 - 16.3%
2016 - 18.27%
2014 - 6.69% #txlege#VoteTexas
Day 4 EV Totals for Harris county has been posted with the TX Secretary Of State. Here are the stats after 4 days of EV (% is of registered voters who have cast a ballot).
2018 - 13.22%
2016 - 16.4%
2014 - 6.42% #txlege#VoteTexas bit.ly/2018TXEarlyVote
Day 4 EV Totals for Dallas county has been posted with the TX Secretary Of State. Here are the stats after 4 days of EV (% is of registered voters who have cast a ballot).
2018 - 16.89%
2016 - 18.09%
2014 - 5.93% #txlege#VoteTexas bit.ly/2018TXEarlyVote
🚨 ALERT: We have received multiple reports from voters who voted straight-ticket, then saw on a later screen that their votes were changed to that of the opposite party. You must check your ballot before casting to ensure it’s correct, and you can ask a poll worker for help.
The eHart voting machines were brought into use at the turn of the century. Texas is in desperate need to modernize our election systems. In the meantime:
- Check your ballot
- Ask a poll worker for help
- Call us at 866-OUR-VOTE if you have questions
“Non-citizen registration & voting is a problem, largely bc the TX registration process is an honor system. No one verifies applicants’ citizenship; applicants simply check a box on the form—except, in these cases, the Democrats checked the box for them." @TrueTexasTea#txlege
“A complaint says the Texas Democratic Party asked noncitizens to register to vote, sending applications with citizenship box pre-checked. This is being investigated. If true there will be serious consequences.”
With all of the Senate races in (still working up the House stuff as it's been a busy two weeks), a few observations about the 30 Day Before reports (07/01/18 - 09/27/18)
The top donor to TX Senate races (7/1/18-9/27/18): 1. Texans For Lawsuit Reform - $466,719
--Konni Burton (SD10) $332,900
--Joan Huffman (SD17) $103,250
--Don Huffines (SD16) $25k
--Pat Fallon (SD30) $5k
--Charles Schwertner (SD5) $319.92
--Kelly Hancock (SD9) $250 #txlege#txed
Texans For Lawsuit Reform gave a total of $466,719 to Senate races from 7/1/18-9/27/18. Konni Burton in SD10 got 71% of those dollars, $332,900. That is a very large play into one Senate race. #txlege#txed
I’ve done a little digesting on the 30 Day Reports and wanted to share some observations #txlege
Empower Texans looks to be back to being primarily a one person show. They took in $1.1 million from 07/01 - 09/27 from 50 donations. Tim Dunn gave $1, 050,000. It makes for a very monochromatic pie. #txlege#txed
When you look at the donors in total, you realize the 50 donations really only translates to 27 different people (some people gave more than once). This also illustrates just how astroturfed this PAC is. #txlege#txed
The root causes of our property tax and school funding crisis are three consequential decisions that blew huge holes in state and school funding. First, in 1991, we froze the motor fuel tax at $0.20 per gallon. The resulting annual structural deficit is $4 billion today...
Second, in 1997, we opened a massive loophole in the property tax law allowing owners of large commercial and industrial properties to cheat the system by $5 billion per year...
Third, in 2006, we designed a new business margin tax that caused a $6 billion structural deficit (per then Texas Comptroller Strayhorn). In all, we’ve created $15 billion per year in structural deficits...
30 Day reports are due to the Texas Ethics Commission today (10/09). I’ll drop screenshots of updated charts into this thread as I get them added to christackettnow.com. $ posted here will just be those since 06/30 (SemiJul filing). #txlege#txed
And away we go. First up will be the Statewide races, candidates sorted alphabetically. I am going to skip Greg Abbott. He raised $5.7 million from a whole bunch of donations. Enough said.
George P Bush - Land Commish
07/01/18 - 09/27/18
$181,416 from 151 donations
$1,201 average donation
145 unique donors #txlege
The vast majority of those interactions happen outside the public’s view. So we used open records requests to get the official schedules for Gov. Greg Abbott, Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick, Attorney General Ken Paxton and others.
While not all meeting details or activities are recorded, even an incomplete look makes clear that these Texans are enjoying easy access in President Donald Trump’s Washington.
To help make sure individuals, and especially candidates for public office, are quoting the correct funding levels as it relates to public schools, I downloaded the TEA PEIMS finance overview for 2000-2017 and dropped it into a dashboard. goo.gl/GzEDxc. #txed#txlege
You can access the Texas School Funding Trend page at goo.gl/GzEDxc. Just like with my campaign finance dashboards, this has a drop down where you can pick which district you want to see. Then you will see the trends in Local, State and Federal funding #txlege#txed
I've also added the Texas Overall funding level as a choice. You can use the "Only" button in the drop down to see one district. Or, you can "Only" the first one and then go through and select with the check boxes to create comparisons. #txed#txlegegoo.gl/GzEDxc.