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RCP8.5 in new climate research
Some positive evolution here but misuse persists as well
frontiersin.org/articles/10.33…
One explanation for the confusing notion that RCP8.5 is both “unlikely” & “most plausible” (to 2071) is that it is one of the only scenarios available for climate research. So to conduct such research it must be used
This is a form of “lock-in” familiar to STS technology scholars
We will no doubt see more of this sort of confusion about scenarios with SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5, both implausible & best used for exploratory research. Yet, they are the only baselines for the next generation of climate modeling studies. So convoluted justifications will result.
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