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Major events of the next 15 years:

1. summer Arctic sea ice vanishes
2. rainforests turn to savannah
3. rapid deglaciation of Antarctica
4. Greenland ice sheet loss begins
5. all tropical coral reefs collapse
6. 50% of birds head to extinction

Why isn't this the top news story?
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More from @ClimateBen see all

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Ben See
@ClimateBen
Remember:

1. Ecosystems are collapsing.
2. Habitats are being destroyed.
3. Rivers are vanishing.
4. Birds face annihilation.
5. Plants are being wiped out.
6. Deserts are expanding.
7. Crops are in danger.
8. The world is running out of water.

None of this is front page news.
Ecosystems like corals are collapsing, while badly fragmented forests are set to follow at any time. Even emergency action would only limit the damage and delay the final collapse. This study doesn't even consider heat waves or Arctic ice disappearance...

carbonbrief.org/deep-emissions…
We'll need to move beyond capitalism to stop habitat destruction, otherwise any mission to respond effectively to the global extinction crisis will fail.theconversation.com/half-the-world…
Read 4 tweets
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Ben See
@ClimateBen
Forest Destruction:

1. biggest loss is due to deforestation for commodity production (27%)

2. also driven by forestry, agriculture, wildfire, urbanization

3. Despite corporate commitments, commodity-driven deforestation rate hasn't declined

4. Fragmentation at critical point
27% of global forest loss can be attributed to deforestation [commodity production] ... The remaining areas maintained the same land use over 15 years; in those areas, loss was attributed to forestry (26%), shifting agriculture (24%), and wildfire (23%)

science.sciencemag.org/content/361/64…
Fragmentation thread:

Read 3 tweets
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Ben See
@ClimateBen
I haven't yet seen any meaningful progress in transitioning towards a decarbonised world.

Also, the study seems to be based on 3C by 2070 which, given feedbacks, climate sensitivity, dimming and fossil fuel production plans, looks very much like our current trajectory to me.
1/3
Even moderate emissions cuts could see us hit 3C well before 2070 if the carbon cycle feedbacks and climate sensitivity don't go our way.

We're set for 2C well before 2045, and if it hits before 2035 (quite possible), my guess is we'll struggle to stay below 3C by 2070.
2/3
And..'too warm for human comfort'?!

Seems to me it would be impossible for humans to survive in any decent way if at all in these regions at 3C. We're talking searing heat as far as I can see, not discomfort.

And what about wildlife? Most animals won't cope in those conditions.
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