New SSP3-8.5 (not possible) PNAS paper out today is giving folks a much needed nostalgia boost in these tough times
How ridiculous is it?
Assumes in the future people will choose to live in warmer climates (red curve) rather than the observed distribution for past 6000 years
How ridiculous is it?
Assumes in the future people will choose to live in warmer climates (red curve) rather than the observed distribution for past 6000 years
There’s no new climate information in this paper, climate change is real & these projections are widely available
New here is the overlay of scenarios (misused as predictions) of the global distribution of people in 21st century, assuming people do not respond to climate change
New here is the overlay of scenarios (misused as predictions) of the global distribution of people in 21st century, assuming people do not respond to climate change
We have described in detail the misuse of scenarios in this new paper
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
The new PNAS paper ticks all the boxes, and a few more
Well done all around 😉
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
The new PNAS paper ticks all the boxes, and a few more
Well done all around 😉
PS. Less fun, there is more than a hint of climate determinism at play here, idea of an optimal climate niche dates to Huntington
Study co-author: “The people won’t stay where the trouble is”
Excerpt below from Mike Hulme
jstor.org/stable/pdf/10.…
Study co-author: “The people won’t stay where the trouble is”
Excerpt below from Mike Hulme
jstor.org/stable/pdf/10.…
