Kevin's 10,000 hours Profile picture
May 9, 2020 3 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Remember when the fear was the Feb liberals calling an early election and killing it? That was a joke.

Might I suggest the Ontario PCs have considered an early election? The number say it could work. These numbers are vote intent and crisis approval. #ontpoli #cdnpoli #topoli
This is not a troll. This is firmly empirical supported and building. So I won’t engage trolls. I’ll gladly respond to respectful comments. Personally, I think his supporting cast of misfits is so weak that his numbers hopefully won’t rub off nearly as much on them. See: Harper.
I know these tweets are polarizing. I’m ok with that. The numbers aren’t made up. My interpretation is cautious. But the LTC war ravages on and approval numbers stay strong. He has been best when he does nothing, and people are responding well to that. Does this become votes?

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More from @KevinAndrewTO

Mar 12, 2021
I just dealt with an anti-masker. Not by choice. They force themselves on you. And I kept my social and intellectual distance and wore a mask despite him giving me permission to remove it, which was considerate. And then he started telling stories. Apparently Tom Hanks is dead 🧵
And he sat in my office and acted like an 8 year old on red dye # 7 and described the child trafficking ring that was driving this entire pandemic. And he used a series of tangential connections to form a pastiche of lunacy, and I just listened and looked at screenshot evidence.
I wanted to shield myself from the dumbfuck, so I started to think about how Gladwell once told Oprah how hard it is to change somebody's mind. And I stared at the invertebrate seated across from me and realized that nobody can re-program that mess. They've already been warned👀
Read 8 tweets
Mar 12, 2021
To clarify. I’m aware the current school testing is flawed. Reasons in the comments. But let’s not forget just how low voluntary turnout was, and let’s not forget we probably can’t test during school hours. This is a thread now. But it’s needed. 🧵
So the general point is Peel gets, say, 350 tests in a weekend. Across four sites. That’s embarrassing. It tells me that people don’t see enough value in the program to participate. If I think this, Lecce certainly does, too. He’s reading the room. And the room is onto vaccines.
Lecce has gamed this testing so badly that what was left of its credibility was easily swept away by its critics. And as a result, we never got any significant portion of the population to more fully appreciate the value of surveillance testing.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 10, 2021
So I've been talking about our democratic institutions function around party structures. It's how they physically divide legislatures, oddly enough, but more importantly, political parties are how we articulate and actualize policy preferences. 1/n
I wrote a paper way back on the transformation of party politics. The paper predates Donald Trump and Doug Ford, who both typify my argument very well. Both are charismatic leaders who brought their base with them and did not get initial party support 2/n drive.google.com/file/d/1ei-Bnb…
Let's look at what happens in Ontario when a politician can directly access constituents and not be hampered by party gatekeeps: you get Ford, Baber, Hillier. You get a party whip that can't control the party. You get mercenaries who would rather drum up support on twitter. 3/n
Read 6 tweets
Oct 3, 2020
This is a very blunt thread, because I'm not mincing words. Not enough people died during the first wave of Covid. Or maybe it was the wrong people who died. An odd, dangerous sense of optimism emerged within our government. This is the only way I can explain a series of errors:
-LTC got no meaningful support
-testing capacity was neglected
-minimalist school plans were released too late
-economic re-opening was done ad hoc
-contradictory and confusing health directives
-MPPs routinely violating public health orders
-but still gearing up for re-election
Optimism is the worst drug you can give to someone who is incompetent. I'll bet the Ford inner circle felt a great rush when they saw new cases fall to 33 that one day. And look where we are now. Isolating again, with four educated men unable to explain how Thanksgiving works.
Read 5 tweets
Sep 30, 2020
The Doug Ford government was incompetent the moment it assumed office. Ontarians decided that they had enough of Liberal tenure and decided to clean the stables and vote in a party that, as I recall, struggled to find a leader or candidates with experience. A minor detail.
A wildly incompetent group assumed office and promptly spent the first year pinching themselves to see if it was even real. We had ministers learning their portfolio on the fly, as what remained of the public service patiently explained ministerial roles and responsibilities.
So when our hapless leaders were confronted with a pandemic, we got the leadership we voted for. It turns out that lockdowns are easy and so I congratulate Doug on his ability to paint by numbers. but we are far beyond those days, and his freehand sketches are just awful.
Read 9 tweets
Sep 28, 2020
I don’t think I can stress this enough. Our governments are at their limit. Did they screw up? In some places. In others it’s just a pandemic having its normal way.

The single best determinant of whether you will contract Covid is your individual behaviour. Full stop.

More:
There are riskier places to live and work—like LTC. I am generalizing across a population, and I am seeing a lot of families and friends having a lot of fun out and about, while everyone is blaming Doug Ford on Twitter. I’m more angry with my neighbours to be honest.
If you truly want to stop the spread, and you know that school classes are too large, and you know the testing is overwhelmed, then ethically you must alter your own behaviours because, well, it’s all you can do. You can ask for other measures, but you control this moment.
Read 4 tweets

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