330 million daily tests? Great plan @SenSchumer. Where can I donate to your campaign for such wit. Wow!
Now, contact tracing. The Person quarantines for 14 days. Day 15 there is another exposure. Quarantine again? Then again on Day 30? Great plan. I am doubling my contribution.
Now, contact tracing. The Person quarantines for 14 days. Day 15 there is another exposure. Quarantine again? Then again on Day 30? Great plan. I am doubling my contribution.
2/ The White House is doing those daily tests & contact tracing not to be called out as not following the rules. Now they are called out for wanting to open the country without giving the countrt those tools. WH Comms needs to stop doing things to placate critics! There is more:
3/ The White House’s challenge of testing everyone daily and contact tracing should be used by the WH to stress how unattainable of a remedy testing/tracing is on a national level! Can’t test tens of millions daily and trace millions in time that they not infect others!
4/ It took MA 3 weeks to track 7,500 contacts from 14K infected people in April! THREE WEEKS. The third week is past the 14 day window! How many of those 7,500 could have infected others within days of coming in contact with the first 14K and thus there needs to be sub-tracing?
5/ If those 14K cases in MA had on average 3 contects, that’s 42,000 contacts yet it took the state 3 weeks to track a fraction of that! This is before counting that an infected person may have gone to an essential place while under the weather and expose DOZENS. There is more:
6/ Let’s say MA can speed up its act and track 42,000 people in 3 days. All the contacts need to quarantine for 14 days. Cool. What if on Day 15 some contacts were exposed to another infected person. Quarantine again? Then again on Day 30 if it happens again? Day 45 again
7/ Regarding daily tests for WH staff (or twice weekly that Cuomo wants for Nursing Home staff): You can’t pull it off for 330 million people, but what if someone gets hit with Corona between tests and exposes others for 23 hours without knowing? New round of tracing will start?
I am not saying that that slowdowns (vs lockdowns) and some testing are worthless. I am showing you that many measures have deadlines and geographic/demographic factors as to how effective they can be. Tracing in a rural town very early in an outbreak? Likely doable/effective.
Trying it months into an outbreak in a city of 8.7 million people where 20% already had the virus (and without a vaccine at hand)? Not so much. This is not my opinion. This is what data/science show. Anyway, I am talking to the 4 walls.
For all the talk that testing saved the day in S. Korea, they did only 680K at this point (almost 4 MONTHS into their first case) per this website. worldometers.info/coronavirus/.
This is just 1.3% of Korea’s population. Does anyone suggest that so few tests are enough to make/break?
This is just 1.3% of Korea’s population. Does anyone suggest that so few tests are enough to make/break?
Test/death rates in key places.
Testing:
6.1% NY
5.2% Spain
4.7% NJ
4.3% Italy
3.2% Germany
2.9% US
1.3% Korea
Covid deaths per 1 million population:
1,388 NY
576 Spain
1,052 NJ
508 Italy
92 Germany
247 US
5 (Five) Korea.
Testing does X explain it all.
Testing:
6.1% NY
5.2% Spain
4.7% NJ
4.3% Italy
3.2% Germany
2.9% US
1.3% Korea
Covid deaths per 1 million population:
1,388 NY
576 Spain
1,052 NJ
508 Italy
92 Germany
247 US
5 (Five) Korea.
Testing does X explain it all.
Germany and South Korea tested less per capita than NY, NJ, Spain and Italy yet they both have much lower death rates. It’s data and science folks. Stop parroting buzzwords like a brainless zombie. Sure, testing is good but clearly there are many other factors at play.
