1. Mild
No risk from mass events
No risk to care homes
Adequate PPE for medics
This government needs to learn from its mistakes. If it cannot provide scientific evidence, it should stop trying to bully others into helping it make what is likely to be yet another mistake.
No risk from mass events
No risk to care homes
Adequate PPE for medics
This government needs to learn from its mistakes. If it cannot provide scientific evidence, it should stop trying to bully others into helping it make what is likely to be yet another mistake.
2. Read the room. You've lost people's trust. If you want to earn it back, you need to start doing a better job. You need to produce evidence. Happy to help. Simply fill in the gaps...
3. The incidence of infection in children is X
The transmission rate in educational settings is X%
X% of infected children experience no or mild symptoms
X% of infected children experience moderate or severe symptoms
X% of infected children require intensive care
The transmission rate in educational settings is X%
X% of infected children experience no or mild symptoms
X% of infected children experience moderate or severe symptoms
X% of infected children require intensive care
4. X% of infected children go on to develop Pims-TS syndrome (split between mild/moderate/severe original presentation)
X% of those children are likely to suffer long-term cardiac complications
X% of those children are likely to suffer long-term cardiac complications
5. X% of infected children are likely to have suffered sub-clinical Pims-TS syndrome leading to undetected cardiac complications in X cases.
We are aware of X other rare (define rare as an expression of rate per million) sequelae likely to be suffered by infected children.
We are aware of X other rare (define rare as an expression of rate per million) sequelae likely to be suffered by infected children.
6. We've modelled the transmission dynamics of school infection clusters such as Marist College High School in New Zealand and understand how infection spread to 96 people. health.govt.nz/our-work/disea…
7. X number of teachers have been infected in an educational setting during lockdown
This represents X% of teachers teaching during lockdown
Extrapolating, we expect to see an infection rate of X% in the teacher population when schools reopen.
This represents X% of teachers teaching during lockdown
Extrapolating, we expect to see an infection rate of X% in the teacher population when schools reopen.
8. We're implementing the following infection control measures and clinical guidance & protocols, and believe we can bring the above rates down to Y because of the following evidence:
Details of assumptions, models, scientific evidence.
Our confidence interval is Z.
Details of assumptions, models, scientific evidence.
Our confidence interval is Z.
9. It's not unreasonable to expect a responsible government to have all this data available to it before making a call on reopening schools. If it doesn't have this data, it can't be in a position to properly assess risk.
10. If a government's only response during a pandemic is "scaremongering", it simply isn't worth listening to.
