COVID (symptomatic) case fatality rate by age, assuming good resources & system is not overwhelmed.
<20: Very little risk
20-40: 1 in 500
40-60: 1 in 200
60-70: 1 in 50
70-80: 1 in 20
80+: 1 in 8
Risks are 2-3 fold lower in absence of obesity, cancer, & serious comorbidities
<20: Very little risk
20-40: 1 in 500
40-60: 1 in 200
60-70: 1 in 50
70-80: 1 in 20
80+: 1 in 8
Risks are 2-3 fold lower in absence of obesity, cancer, & serious comorbidities
If we include asymptomatic infections, the death rates will be 2-3 fold lower, depending on what proportion of COVID infections are asymptomatic throughout. My best guess is 70-80%. But not more than that.
When there was a difference among countries I used S. Korea as probably the closest to truth of a setting with good resources that was not overwhelmed.
Countries like India will likely have much higher rates of system is overwhelmed. Cannot extrapolate.
Countries like India will likely have much higher rates of system is overwhelmed. Cannot extrapolate.
