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Use of care and mortality due to corona in Finland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Iceland and Estonia; data from yesterday 21.5.

With updated total mortality data.

Read the whole thread. (English).

Fig 1a-b. Number of persons in intensive and hospital care per day. 1/x
Fig 2a-c. Number of deaths per day (moving average) and cumulative mortality. 2/x
Fig 3a-c. Geographical differences within Finland: Nr of persons in care/day and nr daily verified diagnoses by the five “specialised medical care regions”.

Might be of interest to other countries to understand the spread btw the capital area (Helsinki) vs rest. 3/x
Fig 4a-c: Finland: Weekly total mortality by sex and age early 2020 and previous years.

To see potential excess mortality, and if corona-related deaths would go missed.

(Total mortality; I only use data up to week 17 as later data change quite a lot.) 4/x
Fig 5a-c. Weekly total mortality in different countries early 2020 as compared to previous years, total and by sex. 5/x
Extra figures 1: Weekly total mortality by age and sex in Sweden, Denmark and Norway early 2020 as compared to previous years. 6/x
Extra figures 2: Weekly total mortality by age and sex in Estonia and Iceland early 2020 as compared to previous years. Nmbers small in these countries; thus lots of variation.

(Figures on total mortality; I only use data up to week 17 as later data change quite a lot.) 7/x
In Finland, the daily numbers of diagnosed, in hospital and deaths declining; also markedly in the capital area Helsinki.

Total mortality, no major excess, except possibly some among the oldest age groups. 8/x
Also in other countries the steady decline continues; in Sweden, the decline is quite steep. There are delays in mortality data which can create bias, but I have 7-day lag/delay in the figures here + the total mortality is also declining rapidly. 9/x
New York Times article on excess mortality was recently updated; including Finland, Sweden, Norway and Denmark. 10/x
nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Interesting Bloomberg-article on actions and timing in Europe. For Finland, they found the actions were applied early on, and therefore marked effect. Timing more important than the stringency of actions. 11/x

bloomberg.com/graphics/2020-…
(I’m interested in this topic, if you would know similar data and analyses please let me know.)
To be clear: I work at THL but my work not related to corona (dementia/diabetes); everything here my own opinions.

All data here from public sources; also the Finnish data. 

I’m not an expert on infectious disease epidemiology. 12/x
Next update on Monday 25.5, enjoy your weekend!

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