Let's discuss about PRICE ACTION PATTERN which gets repeated again and again but that FEAR OF MISSING OUT (FOMO) over rides and people do wrong trade
In this post I will try to explain about human mindset when PRICE starts moving higher/lower
If you find this interesting
"RT"
See in this image you are able to see that price is moving higher from a zone which is marked with horizontal boundaries and from there price moves up without looking back
Let say in this manner that if this much PRICE ACTION is present in front of you where you will take a trade
Accordingly there will be two categories of traders 1. Those who will try to take trade at CMP 2. Those who are waiting for PRICE to retrace back to POINT-A and then take a trade
You know why people will be ready to take trade at CMP because of one simple reason "CONFIDENCE"
When I say CONFIDENCE it means when the PRICE moves higher and higher the level of CONFIDENCE among traders keep on increasing & increasing (try to correlate with feeling of COMPLACENCY)
But always remember "THERE IS ALWAYS A POSITIVE CORRELATION BETWEEN CONFIDENCE & RISK"
i.e when CONFIDENCE is HIGHER means RISK will be also HIGHER and when CONFIDENCE is LOWER means RISK will be also LOWER
May be at this juncture its sounding little bit off track
Read on ! I am sure I will clear this confusion and you will dig out some thing interesting
Now those who took trade at CMP or where waiting for PRICE to retrace back to POINT-A and then took TRADE understand one simple thing your SL is taken out in a zap and you are HUNTED
Many will think that this is just one case. I would suggest you to take on such trades
Cont.
and then find out the final results you will find out that most of the time your SL is taken out
Let me tell you the reason "WHY THIS HAPPENS?" and "WHY ITS NOT ADVISABLE TO TAKE TRADE AT POINT-A / CMP?"
See when the price is moving higher and when it moved up to POINT-A
It has left behind "GAPS/LIQUIDS/FLUIDS" and so if you are BUYING at POINT-A then you are buying at WEAK SUPPORT / WEAK DEMAND ZONE because you are just above FLUIDS. And once the price penetrates through this zone at POINT-A it will fizzle out fast because of FLUIDS
Even its not advisable to PUT SL at zone near POINT-A because the chances of being taken out is very high
Now talking about CONFIDENCE and RISK when the PRICE moved HIGHER and reached POINT-A level of CONFIDENCE was HIGH but don't you think your RISK was also HIGH
Because you have very HIGH chances that your SL will be taken out because of FLUIDS and the rally may fizzle out
Also understand where the CONFIDENCE was LOWER to take on this TRADE it was at the "ZONE MARKED WITH HORIZONTAL LINES" but don't you think RISK was also LOWER
Cont.
because your SL will small and PROFIT will be large
So what is best place to take a trade its "ZONE FROM WHERE PRICE STARTED MOVING HIGHER"
Those who can recollect a bit we are discussing about COMPRESSION here which we have already discussed
LEARNING POST
[Refining your ENTRIES based on MARKET STRUCTURE]
In this post I will make an attempt to share a simple but effective way of getting into TRADE with LOW RISK
If you find it interesting feel free to "RT"
So let's get started
Most of the time when we want to trade LONG we generally look for a classical pattern of UPTREND i.e. HIGHER HIGH - HIGHER LOW which is the first confirmation to trade LONGS
(See the image for better understanding)
Secondly what we look for is we wait for the price to retrace to the zone where it prior faced RESISTANCE and now it will be acting as SUPPORT and from thereon we will initiate LONG based on the concept of ROLE REVERSAL / CHANGE OF POLARITY