Thread by @jonworth

This is the best Cummings timeline I have found so far - via @huge2ya

theguardian.com/politics/2020/…

It needs to be read together with this spectator.us/getting-corona… by Cummings's wife Mary Wakefield, and the original report by @PippaCrerar mirror.co.uk/news/politics/…

The most plausible timeline is that Wakefield already had symptoms and vomiting on Thursday 26 March, so Cummings broke isolation to go to Number 10 on Friday 27 March - to then run from Downing Street middle of the day on 27th

Then how and when did he get to Durham?

We presume that was on Friday 27th March in the afternoon. With a 4 year old. And a wife who had been vomiting the night before. And we *hope* they made no stops along the way

Car is the most plausible as his car was seen at Barnard Castle on 12 April, and we think he did not go back to London in between

If he went by train or bus 🤦‍♂️ (but, as stated, car is the most plausible, but not known for sure)

It is also plausible the trip to Durham was on Saturday 28 March

We know from The Mirror that he was there by Tuesday 31 March

But then back to Wakefield's account of what happened...

"But 24 hours later, he said ‘I feel weird’ and collapsed"

Which we then presume is afternoon of 28th - after having driven to Durham

But then...

"Day in, day out for 10 days he lay doggo with a high fever and spasms that made the muscles lump and twitch in his legs"

Which takes us to Tuesday 7 April

Except The Mirror has an eyewitness report of him being well enough to be dancing in the garden with his child on... 5 April

Also if 14 days of isolation for his child (with no symptoms) start 28 March and he was then he was seen at Barnard Castle on 12 April... just the 14 days

(Note the NHS guidance here: gov.uk/government/pub… You can end your isolation 7 days after your own symptoms started, so DC doesn't fall foul of that)

But then if it were not isolation for Cummings, he would still need to respect lockdown. And going to Barnard Castle, 30 miles from Durham, was against the lockdown guidance at that point

Then 14 April he was back in London, and 19 April back in Durham, according to The Mirror's second story
mirror.co.uk/news/politics/…
We have no detail about that further trip - that might be one to pursue at the press conference

(Note Jenny Harries comments about lockdown and children were on 10 April news.sky.com/story/coronavi… So Cummings cannot use this as cover)

The important point is this: Cummings broke the rules *right* at the start*, before he even left for Durham. Even if he, his wife, and his child, were completely distanced from his parents even *leaving* was against the rules

And then there are numerous other holes and inconsistencies to the story that ought to be filled...

Theoretically we will get answers at the press conference starting in under an hour. I'm not holding my breath though.

/ends