What is the important information?
Expected transmission: how many new cases and where
1) Indicator: Number of new cases in last few days (recent transmission), and its day to day changes (network connectivity = R)
(not total cases that happened so far)
Expected transmission: how many new cases and where
1) Indicator: Number of new cases in last few days (recent transmission), and its day to day changes (network connectivity = R)
(not total cases that happened so far)
2) Mechanism: Cases that transmit over next few days in local area are due to new cases in last 14 days
Indicator: number of cases in last 14 days in a travel connected area
(not total cases that happened so far)
Indicator: number of cases in last 14 days in a travel connected area
(not total cases that happened so far)
3) Note: Remove from the count in (2) cases of the last 14 days if (a) they are already quarantined (e.g. due traveler quarantine or contact tracing), (b) their recent contacts were immediately isolated.
(contact tracing in action)
(contact tracing in action)
Every country, state and locality should provide exactly this information.
