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Jingle-Jangle Fallacies - a useful concept
A central issue in the misuse of climate scenarios (the RCPs) was the renaming of 4 different IAM models as as RCPs, causing some to interpret them as a common scenario set, rather than as alternative worlds
See: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
Jingle fallacy: If RCP8.5 had instead been called MESSAGE A2r much of the scenario misuse might have been avoided

Better yet, let's just call the RCP8.5 scenario Tatooine, which would make clear that any study that uses it is exploring a fictional world
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
And so I have it for future reference
The original source for "jingle fallacies" appears to be Aikins 1902
books.google.com/books?id=zzdHA…
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Roger Pielke Jr.
@RogerPielkeJr
I’ve seen this somewhere 🤔
“a vision of journalism in which the role of media outlets — whether print or digital — is to put forth a set of officially approved views and to silence (or refuse to give voice to) those who dissent from these views”
theweek.com/articles/91814…
My experiences w/ scientist & journalists working in public & behind scenes to have me fired from a prominent outlet for writing about peer-reviewed research and IPCC colors my views, but the Cotton op-ed was nonetheless problematic...
I don’t have answers, but one path forward for elected & government officials in particular is to have prominent outlets like the @nytimes have a special op-ed page for just these individuals
It is a public service to know what politicians believe, even (especially) if abhorrent
Read 9 tweets
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Roger Pielke Jr.
@RogerPielkeJr
🧵
I've taught @CUBoulder since 2001 but I really didn't think much about diversity until I starting teaching sports governance @CUBuffs Athletics in 2014
I moved from teaching almost exclusively white kids to classes that actually looked like America
That woke me up
Some data...
At @CUBoulder Arts & Sciences (my campus home) we had 16,235 full-time undergrad students in Fall 2019
Of those, 463 (3.0%) were African American
% from 2018 to 2019 dropped ~6%
My program @CUBoulderENVS (Environmental Studies) is not diverse
We have 792 full-time undergrads
7 (0.9%) are African-American
None in our freshmen class
Read 6 tweets
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Roger Pielke Jr.
@RogerPielkeJr
One of the quirky weird things about being excommunicated from the climate club is sharing arguments, me getting personally criticized (denier!) & then seeing the ideas soon after expressed as new and accepted🤷‍♂️

May our scenario misuse paper soon also be conventional wisdom!
This climate club laundering of the "long plateau" in CO2 emissions appears to be a follow on to the WSJ article last week on our recent preprint
wsj.com/articles/coron…
Of course, broad acceptance among the climate club of an emissions "long plateau" would be fantastic news because it is absolutely impossible to reconcile with IPCC baseline scenarios in the near term & highlights systemic issues in climate scenarios
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
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