New hospitalizations were greater than 3,000 per day at their peak in New York. So there's basically been a 20-fold reduction to 163 in the past 24 hours. Unfortunately, NY remains more the exception than the rule and other states haven't had such a steep slope downward (if any).
Yeah, 2 things can happen after a really bad outbreak:
1) People may be quite careful and good about social distancing
2) You reduce the susceptible population (models estimate ~15% of NYS / ~25% of NYC were infected). That does make some difference.
1) People may be quite careful and good about social distancing
2) You reduce the susceptible population (models estimate ~15% of NYS / ~25% of NYC were infected). That does make some difference.
So while I do think NY has managed the post-peak phase fairly well (the pre-peak phase is a very, very different story, to say the least) it's not quite an apples-to-apples comparison to places that weren't affected as badly.
