Hostage to fortune predictions on UK-EU negotiations...
Next week - no great progress reported, both sides play to domestic audience
Later in June - leaders summit instructs negotiators to redouble efforts over summer towards a deal
September - real political negotiations
Next week - no great progress reported, both sides play to domestic audience
Later in June - leaders summit instructs negotiators to redouble efforts over summer towards a deal
September - real political negotiations
Negotiators can only try to find the wiggle room around the red lines, ultimately the political leaders have to decide on the importance of compromise or no-deal. And right now neither side is ready for that conversation.
Among other jobs of negotiators - create the scenario in which both sides leaders can claim victory. The reality doesn't have to match.
Anyway, I might regret this thread very soon... but will try to prepare to put the blame on others...
Anyway, I might regret this thread very soon... but will try to prepare to put the blame on others...
PS assuming that there is no extension, which I think is now quite a safe assumption as the need to say no to Europe is still more important than the detail. That only real UK red line (claiming victory over the EU) is harder to forecast in September.
