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UK & EU negotiators will hold crucial trade talks this week

The gulf between them is "broad and deep," as one EU source put it, and a bust-up is expected

However, Johnson is not expected to stage a walk-out as threatened

My long(ish) read on a key week businessinsider.com/brexit-trade-t…
Frustration in Brussels is clear

"Increasing numbers here wonder if the British Government wants a deal at all," a source close to talks said

Ex-Europe adviser to Theresa May, @RaoulRuparel, said both sides are heading for a "bust-up" this week's talks businessinsider.com/brexit-trade-t…
However, the expectation is Johnson will not walk away from negotiations as per his threat, even if this week's round goes awfully

The IfG's @GeorginaEWright: "The UK and EU only expect real movement towards the end of summer and beginning of autumn" businessinsider.com/brexit-trade-t…
A breakthrough is seen as more likely in Sept/Oct, with both sides set to continue talks over summer

What could that look like?

EU backs down on fish, UK on level playing field, @RaoulRuparel suggests

However, the gap on state aid is "huge," he warned businessinsider.com/brexit-trade-t…
But even if there is an 11th hr breakthrough, the timeframe for ratification is so tight

A new @instituteforgov paper suggests ways of creating more time — but most feasible is extending transition, which the UK is totally against

We can't do A50 again
businessinsider.com/brexit-trade-t…
Logistics is the only industry to publicly call for transition extension

But eyes are on June's crunch meeting and groups are considering going public if there's no progress

They don't share the opinion that COVID means the impact of no FTA is minimal
businessinsider.com/brexit-trade-t…
Brexit committee chair @hilarybennmp said he was astonished by UK Gov's approach to securing a trade deal with the EU

"It's extraordinary that the government has not done an updated economic assessment of the kind of deal it's looking for with the EU" businessinsider.com/brexit-trade-t…
And even if Johnson reneges on his threat to quit talks this month, they could collapse later

@anandMenon1: "It makes more sense to continue to negotiate, to look reasonable, and then turn around in the autumn and say 'well, look — the EU screwed us" businessinsider.com/brexit-trade-t…
includes invaluable insights from ex-Europe adviser to Theresa May @RaoulRuparel, Brexit committee chair @hilarybennmp, and Brexit gurus @GeorginaEWright and @anandMenon1
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