Thread by @plaforscience

Comparative of countries with different policies, from hard lockdown to none.
Worst death rate for hardest lockdown, followed by 2 countries with lockdown.

The span & shape indifferent to human measures, with no difference from lockdown degree nor absence of it.

NATURAL CAUSES

The curves are normalized to per million inhabitants.

The natural develope is due to Herd Immunity, as linear exponential growth proved, helped a bit with temperature rise, the only natural causes available.
No matter the faith in 'experts', facts leave no other candidates.

Develope thru time of different countries epidemic, per million. Everywhere the curves follow the natural, time coherent, span, with same tendencies and curves, nonchalant to human measures, or they different degree.

#FlattenTheFear

Sweden anomaly is due to small numbers, in wich Västra Götaland cluster came a bit late.
We're seeing the superpose of two curves following the exact same pattern. Stockholm curve fits exactly with the rest of the world.

Explanation on how clustering affect curves for small numbers.
If we get rid of clustering chance timing,thru independent study,every epidemic outbreak adjust to Gompertz

When numbers go big enough, statistic take rule, deviations fall under Gauss, and we can find easily fitting