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US numbers via @COVID19Tracking.

Weird one here, see next tweet.

Newly reported deaths
Today: 1,100
Yesterday: 884
One week ago (5/29): 1,185

Newly reported cases
T: 29K
Y: 21K
5/29: 24K

Newly reported tests
T: 551K
Y: 466K
5/29: 492K

Positive test %
T: 5%
Y: 4%
5/29: 5%
Michigan changed the way it reported cases and deaths (adding probable cases and deaths) and Minnesota changed the way its reports tests. More details here:

bridgemi.com/michigan-healt…

Without those changes, there would have been

860 deaths
23K cases
506K tests
still a 5% positive test rate

So it would still be a record testing day (first day over 500K), though not by as much. It would also have been 3 straight days with deaths below 1000, however.
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking:

Newly reported deaths
Today: 909
Yesterday: 995
One week ago (5/28): 1,279

Newly reported cases
T: 21K
Y: 20K
5/28: 22K

Newly reported tests
T: 466K
Y: 457K
5/28: 408K

Positive test rate
T: 4%
Y: 4%
5/28: 6%
Folks, this is a pretty good report. Midweek days (Tuesdays, Wednesdays and Thursdays) typically feature high death counts. But we've now had two days in a row with deaths < 1,000.

Also 3 out of 4 days with a positive test rate <5%.
The usual caveats apply, though. There's a LOT of state to state variation, with clearer declines in the Northeast and the Midwest than in the South and the West. And these numbers are backward looking. We don't yet know much about the impact of Memorial Day, protests, etc.
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking:

Newly reported deaths
Today: 995
Yesterday: 1,192
One week ago (5/27): 1,333

Newly reported cases
T: 20K
Y: 24K
5/27: 19K

Newly reported tests
T: 457K
Y: 417K
5/27: 292K

Positive test rate
T: 4%
Y: 6%
5/27: 7%
So... a positive milestone. This is the first time we've been under 1,000 deaths (albeit just barely: 995) on a day that didn't follow a weekend or holiday since April 1. Wednesdays have generally been pretty bad days, in fact. So that's good news.
But while deaths have been falling, what's happening to cases is more ambiguous. My guess is we have maybe 20 states where the situation is clearly getting better, 3-5 where it's getting worse, and another ~25 where it depends on how you construe the data.
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
If you poke around here you'll find quite a few states where different COVID metrics (cases, share of % tests, deaths, hospitalizations) point in different directions and/or the number of tests is fluctuating and it's not entirely obvious what's happening. public.tableau.com/profile/peter.…
If you carefully investigated each state, you could probably formulate a well-informed opinion as to what was really happening. And there are some states (e.g. NY) where all metrics are clearly getting better and a few (e.g. AZ) where they're all getting worse
But be wary of quick-and-dirty takes that don't look at the data as a whole. A lot of them are not very robust and, of course, people tend to construe the data in a way that matches their priors.
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