Thread by @michaelsavage

🚨 If you're the government, look away now 🚨

What follows are some grim polling figures from the latest @OpiniumResearch poll for @ObserverUK on voting intention, public confidence, best PM.

A Thread.

CON lead down from 26 points in early April to 3 points this week. That's a 23-point fall in 8 weeks.

CON 43 (- on last week)
LAB 40 (+1)
LD 6 (-)
SNP 5 (-)
GRN 3 (-)

Opinium polled 2,002 people online, June 4-5

Johnson’s lead as best PM at record low - just 1 point.

36% think he would be best PM (-)
35% think Starmer (+2)

Disapproval of the way Johnson is acting as PM has continued to increase.

44% now disapprove, up 2 points.

The level approving of him remains on 37%.

Johnson still leads Starmer in several areas, but his ratings are falling across the board. Look at these graphs charting the last month...

Here's the big one - confidence in government's ability to handle #Coronavirus situation as it develops.

"Confident" down 21 pts since lockdown began, to 36%.
"Not confident" has DOUBLED from 22% to 44%.

Thanks to the top @OpiniumResearch team. Special shout out to @MrJCrouch.

Couple of thoughts on the huge Tory lead fall...

1. The election's prob not until 2024. Does headline polling matter? Well, no, in the respect. And you'd expect Labour to eat into that lead.

But based on nothing... I reckon govt errors have given Labour a 6-12 month head start.

2. We're back in #GE2017 territory - & Starmer always seemed likely to win support from that kind of coalition.

Question was always: can he appeal beyond that (there's few Lib Dems left to get Keir, they're stuck on 6%)?

Perhaps now, he'll get to test that sooner than expected.