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I was asked by @tomkeene and @flacqua this morning about lessons from Sweden for US states opening further.

Bottom line: The Swedes will stick to their approach (supporting charts below). For US states, it will depend on degree of hospital pressure and importantly POLITICS.
This is the new cases chart from the standard @ExanteData feed. We had a big spike in new cases last week, but the outlier was due to a big batch of tests (health workers) being recorded in a single day. The most recent day, was 'back to normal'.
The perhaps most important chart is the one showing the degree of pressure on the hospital system. And while Sweden has seen a plateau in new cases (no descent), the hospital pressure has descented.
Linked to this, the trend in fatalities is also down, although not as much as in neighboring countries, which have had very low figures for new cases for some time.
From political point of view, while the right-wing party likes to criticize the government's path, the opinion polls are showing strong support => there is little prospect of a change in path. The 'Swedish approach' will likely remain in place for a while...
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