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JACKIS

@i_am_jackis

May 24

What I often see people doing wrong is waiting for that "One last" - 🧵 THREAD - 1/9

- "One last" draw on liquidity
- "One last" equal lows sweep
- "One last" capitulation
- "One last" shakeout
- "One last" - you name it ✍️

For example, one (in)famous trader called ICT kept waiting for BTC to sweep the 2015 HTF equal lows

He has been waiting for the #Bitcoin crash and the sweep since then

It has never come to this day

In 2018 the situation was very similar. People kept waiting for lower. For that FVG/Inefficiency fill. For that prior ATH retest

Still waiting

Read 10 tweets

JACKIS

@i_am_jackis

Feb 18

RISK to REWARD / COST to BENEFIT 📚

🧵 In-depth thread about this phenomenon, that can be used in various aspects of our lives. Not just in trading

This will IMPROVE your life 👇

1/25

Risk to reward, in shortcut RRR or just RR, is an amazing concept that we use every day without even realizing it

But it is exactly that realization, which you will learn here, that will help you identify & use it effectively

2/

This concept is mainly to realize that everything we do in our lives and every decision we take involves risk/cost

The RR ratio then calculates how much reward there is for such risk

It can also be described mathematically as 0,2:1 / 2:1 / 5:1 and so on

3/

Read 25 tweets

JACKIS

@i_am_jackis

Jan 27

🧵 The biggest problem with #Crypto Twitter is that it has wrongly set out incentives

It rewards OGs for tweeting stuff people WANT to hear but not what they NEED to hear

That's the direct reason why some most hated accounts have the largest followings

Read below 👇

1/18

The reward system on Twitter is mainly through 4 things:

1) Likes
2) Retweets
3) Comments
---------------
4) Followers - A way we measure "success" / social-economical status

Where number 4 is growing based on the 3 above

2/

There is however no economic incentive to post regardless of that

And remember, whenever there is something free, there is a (hidden) price for that (majority of the times)

3/

Read 19 tweets

JACKIS

@i_am_jackis

Jan 26

The Market Maker REKT Model 🧵

This entire run-up in January is very tricky to play

Most #ALTs, including #Bitcoin, look like this or very similar

After a year of down only, people have PTSD to just blindly buy here, reasonably so, so they wait for the "proper" pullback

1/5

The market however is not giving any clean retests and this creates frustration and "built-up energy" in the market

Until it finally does retest. Most are happy and finally get in. If lucky, the market creates another swing higher.

2/

That's when most sidelinooors & bears can't take it anymore and FOMO

IMO we are currently around wave 4, to fulfill wave 5

They were all dragged to slaughter as the market finally does that HTF pullback they were all waiting for initially

3/

Read 5 tweets

JACKIS

@i_am_jackis

Jan 22

#Bitcoin has reversed and confirmed its trend change as the majority of #crypto experts still fail to accept it and will be missing out.

The question is, will you ❓

Find out why in this thread below 🧵👇

1/

Nearly all major longer-term tools a lot of people use such as market structure, moving averages, supertrend, RSI, MACD, MVRV, Puell, % drop, and so on are pointing out to a trend reversal

That by itself wouldn't matter that much, it's the CONFLUENCE that matters here

2/

So first of all it's important to realize the time spent during each bear market + the percentage drop!

Diminishing returns each bull = diminishing drop each bear

With higher market capitalization the volatility will also diminish.

3/

Read 24 tweets

JACKIS

@i_am_jackis

Nov 25, 2022

What most people dont realize is that what has happened to #FTX can happen to literally any bank in the world at any time

Banks run on a fractional reserve system & yes, they hold far less reserves than FTX had

FTX was then nothing more than a better TradFi-crypto bank 👀

1/4

If people for some reason do a bank run on any of your fiat banks, it will collapse

Had for some reason people start doing it in herds on multiple banks, the fear would spread & the system would collapse.

Then only hard assets such as #Bitcoin | #Silver | #Gold would be secure

When u deposit money (currency) to a fiat bank, it's not your money anymore

When u deposit money (#Bitcoin) to a crypto bank (exchange), it's not your money anymore

Crypto banks need far more reserves than traditional banks & you can always opt-out to spot #BTC, unless too late

Read 4 tweets

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