Thanks to Nephron’s health care research team and Josh Raskin. Follow here if interested in the results.
It was about how we won’t know what’s happening for 6 weeks. 2/
Let’s call those four groups the Rabbits, the Cheetahs, the Rhinos, and the Tortoises. 3/
Rabbits: up 26%
Cheetahs: up 7%
Rhinos: down 31%
Tortoises: down 9%
Overall, cases were flat (down 0.6% actually) during thst period. Half the states grew & have declined.
Colorado and Indiana stand as exceptions with case declines. 4/
Arizona, California, and North Carolina are seeing high growth.
Offsetting somewhat are Maryland, Minnesota, CT, and MA who have seen a decline. 5/
New York is counted here because upstate opened at the end of May, tho NYC didn’t open until last week. Overall NY is down 39%. But Illinois is also down 47%.
Many of these states are recovering but some are beginning to grow. 6/
Eventually some become hospitalized, some need ICU care, and some die.9/
States where % positive rates increase like AZ, UT, TX, SC, NC & WA are of concern.10/
Bars and indoor restaurants, churches, jails, nursing homes and plants represent some of the places where growth occurs.12/
As of now deaths are still flat to slightly declining. So even though way too many people are dying every day, it’s too early to know about the new cases.13/
If those folks continue to protect themselves, there will be better results. 15/
It is a warning signal that if the WH & govs ignore this reality, we should still take it seriously. Masks & distance while getting back to things will help./end