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Can/should any college resume in-person classes this fall?

Best scenario I can see:

small rural college

real estate cheap, so solo dorm rooms feasible

quarantine upon arrival followed by testing

use all campus facilities to allow six-foot distancing in classrooms

1/N
In this scenario there are still no college-sponsored group events, sports, parties

Is this bare-bones version of residential-college life worth the risks? Worth the cost of room and board?

I just don't get how so many presidents are confident about re-opening in person

2/N
See this thread about experience of a class of new Army recruits

Universal testing upon arrival

*22% infected within a few weeks*

And this is the ARMY FFS

Typical college environment is a tad less disciplined than Fort Benning

3/N

Worst-case scenario, IMO:

Colleges bring students back to campus

Infections spike

In-person classes cancelled

Students living on/near campus continue contact (parties, dorms, apartments), spread virus

--> all the costs of proximity w/no learning benefits

4/N
My suspicion:

Colleges are holding out hope of in-person classes in order to keep up enrollments

If they tell the difficult truth now, many students will decide to take a year off

This will send college finances into a tailspin

5/N
It is irresponsible to bring students to campus if they will

1) Get little *educational* benefit from being on campus

2) Increase their risk of becoming infected by being on campus

3) Spread infections when they return home

What am I missing?

6/N
Note that many *commuter* colleges have already decided to go online

Community colleges were early announcers of classes moving online

It's the "traditional" residential colleges (which educate a minority of students) that are playing this out

7/N
Hoping to wake in the morning to lots of informative replies showing why my pessimism is unwarranted

Please enlighten me!

8/N
I did not wake to reassuring information

Best I’m hearing is temporary pavilions for outdoor teaching



9/N
Colleges bring together lots of young people, who spread the virus asymptomatically or experience mild cases

They will then carry the virus to populations that are far more vulnerable:

college staff

residents of college towns

their own families & towns when school ends

10/N
Evidence from Japan that college-age people are major source of virus spread

11/N

The president of Brown, Christina Paxson, wrote this a century ago (in Covid years)

Have these prerequisites for a safe opening been met?

12/N

nytimes.com/2020/04/26/opi…
Well this is certainly on point

nytimes.com/2020/06/15/opi…

13/N
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