Thread by @ASlavitt

The COVID-19 case growth numbers & hospitalizations are concerning.

Much more concerning than Trump or Pence indicate. Countries around the world are raising sirens over 100 cases in China & 2 cases in New Zealand.

We had more cases than any day since May 2: 27,000.

The fact that cases are increasing nationally despite massive declines in the Northeast obscures the case growth in the South & West.

NY, NJ, CT, MI are only down 85-90% off peak. PA and IL 75% off peak.

And still we are seeing records.

States that have not peaked:
AZ, AR, CA, FL, NV, NC, OK, OR, SC, TN, TX, UT
States w higher test positive:
AL, AZ, FL, HI, OK, SC, SD, WY
States w largest hospitalization growth:
AZ, GA, SC,TX, UT (many states don't report)

Deaths have continued to be mostly steady, but have declined across the country. Mix of:
-Major NE decline
-Higher % of moderate cases
-Better protection/caution of most at-risk
-Better hospital treatment
-Lag in cases/hospitalizations

Which? How much of each?

There are a lot of people on Twitter who will tell you they are positive they have the answer. The only thing I'm positive of is that they don't.

I'd like to think there's some good news here. Then again, give me New Zealand's approach and I would be positive.

H/T to Mark Van Sumeran and @NephronResearch as usual for helping keep me knee deep in data.