Correction: emissions would have to keep rising into the 2030s to hit 4C by 2055-2070.
Clarification :
Few scientists would predict ~1.8C by 2030, but as far as I can tell it's a possibility (3.6C relates to the Pliocene. The earliest we may hit 3.6C according to peer-reviewed science would be the end of the 2040s (2050s more plausible).
Few scientists would predict ~1.8C by 2030, but as far as I can tell it's a possibility (3.6C relates to the Pliocene. The earliest we may hit 3.6C according to peer-reviewed science would be the end of the 2040s (2050s more plausible).
Additional info:
Despite a smattering of papers/reports suggesting 3C by the 2040s is possible, 2- 2.5C would appear far more likely (according to the climate scientists I have talked to, and climate models).
Despite a smattering of papers/reports suggesting 3C by the 2040s is possible, 2- 2.5C would appear far more likely (according to the climate scientists I have talked to, and climate models).
