Our daily update is published. We’ve now tracked 27.6 million tests, up ~475k from yesterday.
The 7-day average keeps pushing higher. The U.S. now completes 2x as many tests per day as in early May and 4x as many as early April.
For details, see: covidtracking.com
The 7-day average keeps pushing higher. The U.S. now completes 2x as many tests per day as in early May and 4x as many as early April.
For details, see: covidtracking.com
The positive rate has fallen a lot since early April. Back then it was ~20%. Now it's more like 4-5-6%.
A lot of that change has been driven by the rising tests and plummeting positive rates in the northeast.
A lot of that change has been driven by the rising tests and plummeting positive rates in the northeast.
Take out just three states from the data—NY, NJ, and CT—and a different story emerges.
The positive rate outside that area never reached as high, nor did it ever get as low. And it began climbing over the last week.
The positive rate outside that area never reached as high, nor did it ever get as low. And it began climbing over the last week.
States reported ~28k new cases today.
Because of greater testing availability, we're confirming a larger percentage of cases than in March and April.
Still, the case numbers are growing quickly. Today's case number is the second-highest Monday in our data.
Because of greater testing availability, we're confirming a larger percentage of cases than in March and April.
Still, the case numbers are growing quickly. Today's case number is the second-highest Monday in our data.
Here are the states that reported over 500 cases today.
Note: Mississippi had data reporting problems for days, so their number represents data from 6/17-6/21.
Note: Mississippi had data reporting problems for days, so their number represents data from 6/17-6/21.
Let's take a closer look at TX and CA.
These states have similar case numbers, but very different positions.
In CA, the positive rate has remained low and hospitalizations steady.
In TX, the positive rate and hospitalizations are rising alongside cases.
These states have similar case numbers, but very different positions.
In CA, the positive rate has remained low and hospitalizations steady.
In TX, the positive rate and hospitalizations are rising alongside cases.
Looking at the case data, there is now a fairly clear low plateau, where the 7-day average stayed between 20-22k cases per day. This extended from 5/25 to 6/15, so from 29 ago to 7 days ago.
States reported under 300 deaths today, keeping the 7-day average under 600. Good news.
But we know death reporting lags—the deaths we see reported here primarily occurred in that plateau period.
But we know death reporting lags—the deaths we see reported here primarily occurred in that plateau period.
It could be that there are other reasons why observed deaths have kept dropping—better treatment, younger people being infected, more mildly sick people being tested, ???—but the lag should not be discounted.
