Thread. Rather clear that the hypothesis of "reopenings led to spikes" just doesn't match the data for cases or hospitalizations. A drastic shift can clearly be traced to late May and early June.
It's rather obvious, as @boriquagato suggests, that the spikes are directly correlated with the timing of protests. But data that spread occurred at protests is limited thus far. That's why I view most likely explanation is that many Americans changed their behavior around then.
Why did they change their behavior?
Seems obvious. They saw media, politicians, and many health officials prioritize something else over limiting the virus. That clearly led to many Americans, on both sides, to take it less seriously & be less willing to take precautions.
Seems obvious. They saw media, politicians, and many health officials prioritize something else over limiting the virus. That clearly led to many Americans, on both sides, to take it less seriously & be less willing to take precautions.
