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Dr. Jonathan Schroden Profile picture
@JJSchroden
Jul 2, 2020 • 5 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
The timeline of ⁦@nytimes⁩ reports on this don’t make sense to me. This says the US concluded in 2019(!) that the Russians were paying bounties but only launched raids to catch the money guy 6 months ago. 1/n nytimes.com/2020/07/01/wor…
Previous @nytimes reports indicated that the discovery of the $500k on a raid target led to questions being asked of detainees which then led to suspicion of Russian bounties. But that raid was earlier this year, not in 2019. 2/n
So I’m confused: Did US forces raid the guy because they suspected he was the money man for Russian bounties? If so, when did we first suspect bounties were in play (& why)? Where did that trail really begin? 3/n
Or did we suspect bounties because of the large amount of cash found on the raid + subsequent detainee reports? And if so, where/how does the statement about US conclusions in 2019 fit in? 4/n
Hoping @MujMash or @EricSchmittNYT can clear this up. The timeline of what happened is important when it comes to gauging the administration’s response. 5/5

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More from @JJSchroden

Dr. Jonathan Schroden Profile picture
Sep 26
Today, @USGAO released a report that describes the efforts of @StateDept, @DHSgov & @DeptofDefense to counter foreign disinformation. 1/n
@USGAO @StateDept @DHSgov @DeptofDefense GAO cited the following as examples:
- @StateDept's Global Engagement Center helps federal agencies, embassies & int'l partners develop analytic skills, policy responses & technical capacity to counter foreign disinformation overseas. 2/n
@USGAO @StateDept @DHSgov @DeptofDefense - @DHSgov's Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency educates the public on the risks of disinformation and partners with state and local election officials to disseminate educational materials to help them identify disinformation. 3/n
Read 7 tweets
Dr. Jonathan Schroden Profile picture
Aug 1
Fascinating account here of how #alQaeda's Ayman al-Zawahiri reportedly ended up in a Siraj Haqqani safehouse in downtown Kabul (& the #Taliban's request for AQ to not acknowledge the event). Will put some key points in this thread. 1/n

akhbaralaan.net/news/exclusive…
According to the article, a young #Taliban intel (GDI) officer brought Zawahiri to Kabul in 2022 b/c the latter was suffering from "heart, kidney and skin problems" & needed treatment in the capital. They traveled over the course of 3 weeks from Helmand province. 2/n
Al-Zawahiri was initially posted in a #Taliban intel (GDI) safehouse, but after a drone was sighted flying overhead, he was moved to a second safehouse (near the Sai Rahi Aludin roundabout) in the capital. 3/n
Read 10 tweets
Dr. Jonathan Schroden Profile picture
Feb 2
As with its last report, this latest report on the #Taliban’s relationship with #alQaeda in #Afghanistan is 180 degrees out from the current US assessment. 1/n cbsnews.com/news/afghanist…
“According to the report presented to the UNSC [#alQaeda] has established ‘up to 8 new training camps in #Afghanistan, including four in Ghazni, Laghman, Parwan & Uruzgan Provinces, w\a new base to stockpile weaponry in the Panjshir Valley….’ 2/n
“…The terrorist organization also operates 5 madrasas - religious schools where it trains and indoctrinates children to become fighters - in the east & northeast of #Afghanistan, the reports said…” 3/n
Read 6 tweets
Dr. Jonathan Schroden Profile picture
Nov 20, 2023
I was recently passed a pre-publication copy of Feridun Sinirlioğlu's independent assessment of the situation in #Afghanistan, conducted for the @UN

I'll put some thoughts about it in this THREAD. 1/n
@UN (Since the report isn't out yet, I can't link to it, but you can find various news articles about it via Google, such as this one by @VOANews: ) 2/nvoanews.com/a/un-mandated-…
@UN @VOANews Overall, the assessment is clearly written & admirably forthright, especially given that its audiences are wide-ranging, from the #Taliban to those who hate the Taliban.

Its primary conclusion: "the status quo of int'l engagement is not working." 3/n
Read 21 tweets
Dr. Jonathan Schroden Profile picture
May 18, 2023
Today, the #Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs published an evaluation report of its contribution to the Resolute Support mission in #Afghanistan that *pulls no punches.*

I'll string together its primary findings in this THREAD. 1/n Image
(You can find the full report and an executive summary here: english.iob-evaluatie.nl/results/public…) 2/N
Before the findings, a quick comment: the Dutch MFA produced this report b/c "Dutch contributions to missions under Article 100 of the Dutch Constitution are subject to an obligation to evaluate the deployment after it's been completed"

Wish the US had a similar requirement. 3/n
Read 22 tweets
Dr. Jonathan Schroden Profile picture
Oct 12, 2022
Today, the @JoeBiden admin released its National Security Strategy. I’ll summarize its major points & put some thoughts on #terrorism & #Afghanistan specifically in this THREAD. 1/n
@JoeBiden (You can find the full text of the document here: whitehouse.gov/wp-content/upl…) 2/n
@JoeBiden The strategy exists in 5 parts: (1) overview of the problem; (2) sources of US strength (solutions); (3) global priorities; (4) strategy by region; (5) conclusion.

Oddly, part 1 starts on page 6. Nitpicky, I know, but still weird--who counts the cover as page 1? 3/n
Read 29 tweets

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